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Modern Times Group (MTG-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SE · Market cap 14.1B SEK

MT Modern Times Group MTG-B · ST
Pricekr 118.80
Fair Valuekr 124.52
Upside+4.8%
Quality64/100
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Evidence: Medium Range kr 87.68 – kr 161.36 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from kr 124.14 to kr 124.52 (+0.3%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

kr 139.50 kr 85.05 Fair Value kr 124.52 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range kr 85.05 – kr 139.50 · fair‑value band kr 87.68 – kr 161.36 · the kr 118.80 price screens below the kr 124.52 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Modern Times Group (MTG-B) currently trades at kr 118.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 124.52, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Modern Times Group generated revenue of 12.2B SEK at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at 2.7B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 87.68 (bear case) to kr 161.36 (bull case); at kr 118.80, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 5%, MTG-B screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.2B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.5%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow 1.5B SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 1,627.5
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) +111%
Net debt 2.7B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Modern Times Group MTG AB, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of game franchises in Sweden, the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, Singapore, India, the United States, and New Zealand. The company also provides in-app purchase, in-app advertising, and other digital distribution services. In addition, it develops and publishes mobile and online games under the PlaySimple, Plarium, InnoGames, Snowprint, Hutch, Futureplay, and Ninja Kiwi names. Modern Times Group MTG AB was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Modern Times Group reported revenue of kr 11.6B in FY2025 versus kr 5.3B in FY2021, a compound +21.5%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 62.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +21.5%/yr
FY21 kr 5.3B
FY22 kr 5.5B
FY23 kr 5.6B
FY24 kr 6.0B
FY25 kr 11.6B
Net income
FY21 −kr 455M
FY22 kr 252M
FY23 −kr 11.0M
FY24 −kr 210M
FY25 −kr 62.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Modern Times Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTG-B

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Frequently asked questions

Is Modern Times Group (MTG-B) undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 124.52 versus a price of kr 118.80, about +5% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MTG-B?
Our model-based fair value for Modern Times Group is kr 124.52 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 118.80.
What is the quality score of MTG-B?
Modern Times Group has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Modern Times Group (MTG-B)?
Modern Times Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.2B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTG-B?
The net profit margin of Modern Times Group is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.