Muza S.A (MZA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · PL · Market cap 28.2M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 13.56 PLN to 3.13 PLN (−76.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.07 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.91 PLN – 18.16 PLN · fair‑value band 2.58 PLN – 4.07 PLN · the 8.90 PLN price screens above the 3.13 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Muza S.A (MZA) currently trades at 8.90 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.13 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 64.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Muza S.A generated revenue of 42.4M PLN at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.0M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.58 PLN (bear case) to 4.07 PLN (bull case); at 8.90 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -65%, MZA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (13.78 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (5.32 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Muza S.A. publishes books in Poland. The company publishes various categories of books that include fiction, social literature, crime and sensation, thriller, fantasy and sci-fi, horror, nonfiction, guides, children and teenagers books, young adult, albums and arts, comics, audio books, e-books, pocket edition, books with autographs, set, and gadgets.
Full company description
Muza S.A. publishes books in Poland. The company publishes various categories of books that include fiction, social literature, crime and sensation, thriller, fantasy and sci-fi, horror, nonfiction, guides, children and teenagers books, young adult, albums and arts, comics, audio books, e-books, pocket edition, books with autographs, set, and gadgets. It also operates online bookstores and various outlets. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Muza S.A reported revenue of 42.4M PLN in FY2025 versus 35.7M PLN in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6M PLN in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MZA screens 65% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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