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Muza S.A (MZA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Muza S.A stock PLN 13.45, price PLN 8.30, upside +62.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services PL · ISIN PLMUZA000019

MS Muza S.A logo Some data Nov 4, 2026

Muza S.A

MZA · WAR
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 13.45 PLN · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Costs just 6.9 times its yearly profit.
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr in PLN)
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 40/100 · thin data
⚠ Thinly traded⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

18.16 PLN 2.03 PLN Fair Value 13.45 PLN Nov 2020 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.03 PLN – 18.16 PLN · fair‑value band 9.41 PLN – 17.08 PLN · the 8.30 PLN price screens below the 13.45 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Muza S.A. publishes books in Poland.

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The company publishes various categories of books that include fiction, social literature, crime and sensation, thriller, fantasy and sci-fi, horror, nonfiction, guides, children and teenagers books, young adult, albums and arts, comics, audio books, e-books, pocket edition, books with autographs, set, and gadgets.

It also operates online bookstores and various outlets. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.

Stock analysis

Muza S.A (MZA) currently trades at 8.30 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.45 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 13.45 PLN per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the 8.30 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.87 PLN, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 9.41 PLN (bear) to 17.08 PLN (bull), the price of 8.30 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Muza S.A reported revenue of 42.4M PLN in FY2025 versus 35.7M PLN in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.6M PLN in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 26.9M PLN (≈ $6.9M) Micro · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) 1.21 PLN · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 62%, MZA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.41 PLN Fair Value 13.45 PLN Bull 17.08 PLN
Price 8.30 PLN · Upside +62.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.04 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 5.97 PLN 6.53 PLN 7.00 PLN 74
ROIC Compounder 5.97 PLN 6.53 PLN 7.00 PLN 72
Residual Income 10.73 PLN 10.89 PLN 11.46 PLN 71
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.47 PLN 10.11 PLN 12.53 PLN 66
EPV 5.97 PLN 6.53 PLN 7.00 PLN 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.26 PLN 17.69 PLN 22.11 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 10.25 PLN 13.67 PLN 17.08 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 5.05 PLN 6.74 PLN 8.42 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 9.41 PLN 12.14 PLN 14.87 PLN 66
EV/EBITDA 22.67 PLN 29.82 PLN 36.97 PLN 67
EV/Revenue 7.43 PLN 10.09 PLN 12.75 PLN 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.55 PLN 3.87 PLN 4.83 PLN 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.73 PLN 10.89 PLN 11.46 PLN 71
ROIC Compounder 5.97 PLN 6.53 PLN 7.00 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.41 PLN 13.45 PLN 17.48 PLN 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 39
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 28
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 32
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 71
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+29.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+29.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.29.1% vs 7.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Compare Muza S.A with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +62.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 7.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 7.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 6.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)52 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Muza S.A: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Muza S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MZA

Frequently asked questions

Is Muza S.A (MZA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.45 PLN versus a price of 8.30 PLN, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MZA?
Our model-based fair value for Muza S.A is 13.45 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.30 PLN.
What is the quality score of MZA?
Muza S.A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Muza S.A (MZA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.45 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.41 PLN, optimistic scenario 17.08 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Muza S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.45 PLN, about +62% upside versus a price of 8.30 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 9.41 PLN, optimistic scenario 17.08 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Muza S.A (MZA)?
Muza S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 43.4M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Muza S.A (MZA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Muza S.A it is 13.45 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 8.30 PLN. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Muza S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, MZA trades below its calculated fair value: price 8.30 PLN, fair value 13.45 PLN, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MZA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.30 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.45 PLN). For Muza S.A the two are 5.15 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Muza S.A worth?
The market values Muza S.A at about 26.9M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 8.30 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 13.45 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MZA?
Our models span a range for Muza S.A: cautious scenario 9.41 PLN, base 13.45 PLN, optimistic 17.08 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 8.30 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MZA?
Muza S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.45 PLN is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.4. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 2.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Muza S.A (MZA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Muza S.A (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 6.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MZA from its 52-week high?
Muza S.A trades at 8.30 PLN, about 27% below its 52-week high of 11.40 PLN and 10% above the low of 7.52 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.45 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Muza S.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Muza S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 8.30 PLN, calculated fair value 13.45 PLN (+62%), Quality Score 43/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MZA calculated?
We run Muza S.A through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.45 PLN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Muza S.A currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 8.30 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 13.45 PLN, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Muza S.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.41 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (9.41 PLN to 17.08 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Muza S.A (MZA) come from?
Earnings per share at Muza S.A grew +21.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin +12.8 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Muza S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The market capitalisation of Muza S.A is 26.9M PLN (≈ $6.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Muza S.A is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Muza S.A (MZA)?
Earnings per share at Muza S.A are 1.21 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The net margin of Muza S.A is 7.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Muza S.A is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Muza S.A (MZA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Muza S.A is 11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Muza S.A (MZA)?
The operating margin of Muza S.A is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Muza S.A (MZA)?
Revenue at Muza S.A is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Muza S.A (MZA)?
Earnings per share at Muza S.A are growing +16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Muza S.A (MZA) generate?
The free cash flow of Muza S.A is −2.6M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Muza S.A (MZA) hold?
Muza S.A holds more cash than debt, 4.0M PLN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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