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National CineMedia, Inc (NCMI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $319M

Price$3.48
Fair Value$1.18
Upside-66.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.9200 – $1.45

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

National CineMedia, Inc (NCMI) currently trades at $3.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.18 — implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. It also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost, a data, insights and analytics platform that utilizes data; NCM Boost, a audience accelerator digital product; NCM Boomerang, retargeting solution designed to amplify post-theatre engagement; NCM Bullseye, an AI-generated creative to deliver dynamic and hyper-localized messaging; and NCM Blueprint, a real-time renovation permit data to identify homeowners who are actively engaged in remodelling projects. It offers its service…

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Frequently asked questions

Is National CineMedia, Inc (NCMI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.18 versus a price of $3.48 — about −66% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NCMI?
Our 21-model fair value for National CineMedia, Inc is $1.18 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.48.
What is the quality score of NCMI?
National CineMedia, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.