Neodecortech S.p.A (NDT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IT · Market cap €59.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €7.76 to €5.76 (−25.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (€3.60 to €8.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.31 – €5.56 · fair‑value band €3.60 – €8.04 · the €5.56 price screens below the €5.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Neodecortech S.p.A (NDT) currently trades at €5.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.76, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Neodecortech S.p.A generated revenue of €192M at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at €30.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €3.60 (bear case) to €8.04 (bull case); at €5.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 4%, NDT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€9.08) versus Dividend Discount (€0.8800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Neodecortech S.p.A. produces and markets decorative papers for the industrial sectors of wood and furnishing accessories in Italy, the rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, America, and Africa. It operates through Printed Decorative Paper Division, Decorative Paper Division, Guarcino Energy Division, Casoli Energy Division, and NDT China Division segments.
Full company description
Neodecortech S.p.A. produces and markets decorative papers for the industrial sectors of wood and furnishing accessories in Italy, the rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, America, and Africa. It operates through Printed Decorative Paper Division, Decorative Paper Division, Guarcino Energy Division, Casoli Energy Division, and NDT China Division segments. The company offers decorative papers in various categories, including wood, stones and surfaces, fancies and textiles, and flooring. It also engages in the printing and impregnation of paper; printing and finishing of thermoplastic films; and provision of laminate products. In addition, the company owns and operates electrical and thermal energy plants. It sells its products under the Confalonieri, Texte, and Plana brands. The company was formerly known as Confalonieri S.p.A. and changed its name to Neodecortech S.p.A. in July 2017. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Filago, Italy. Neodecortech S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Finanziaria Valentini S.P.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Neodecortech S.p.A reported revenue of €184M in FY2025 versus €179M in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €7.3M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.09 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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