NIKKON Holdings (NIPKF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1B
NIKKON Holdings
NIPKF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.47 to $19.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range $8.08 – $17.42 · fair‑value band $10.47 – $19.62 · the $9.41 price screens below the $11.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
NIKKON Holdings (NIPKF) currently trades at $9.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.66, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NIKKON Holdings generated revenue of $270B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at $81.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.47 (bear case) to $19.62 (bull case); at $9.41, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 24%, NIPKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($20.63) versus Economic Profit ($7.61). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NIKKON Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the cargo transportation businesses in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Transportation, Warehousing, Packaging, and Testing. It transports cargo and products to users, such as automobile and motorcycle finished vehicles, auto parts, housing equipment, and agricultural machinery.
Full company description
NIKKON Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the cargo transportation businesses in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Transportation, Warehousing, Packaging, and Testing. It transports cargo and products to users, such as automobile and motorcycle finished vehicles, auto parts, housing equipment, and agricultural machinery. The company also provides packaging processing services, including delivery agency and distribution processing of automobile parts, export packaging, and design of packaging specifications, as well as development of packaging materials, such as buckets and trolleys; and installation, assembly, accuracy, operation trying, dismantling, transportation, and integrated domestic and overseas work of machinery and equipment and production lines. In addition, it provides warehouse business, such as auto parts and precision machinery to housing equipment and food. Further, the company offers test support services for four and two-wheeler vehicles, automobile parts, general-purpose products, etc.; waste treatment and collection; customs clearance, vehicle repair, and insurance agency services; engages in the real estate sales and leasing, and brokerage management activities, office relocation and moving, system design/development, information systems, and consulting services; generates solar power; and sells electricity. The company was formerly known as Nippon Konpo Unyu Soko Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NIKKON Holdings Co.,Ltd. in October 2015. NIKKON Holdings Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NIKKON Holdings reported revenue of $248B in FY2025 versus $183B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $16.6B in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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