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NLI Holdings (NL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $293M

Price$5.84
Fair Value$4.77
Upside-18.3%
Quality89/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.42 – $5.28

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

NLI Holdings (NL) currently trades at $5.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.77 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 89/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

NLI Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the component products industry in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells mechanical and electronic cabinet locks and other locking mechanisms, including disc tumbler locks; pin tumbler locking mechanisms under KeSet, System 64, TuBar, and Turbine brands; and electronic locks under CompX eLock and StealthLock brands for use in various applications, such as mailboxes, ignition systems, file cabinets, desk drawers, tool storage cabinets, high security medical cabinetry, integrated inventory and access control secured narcotics boxes, electronic circuit panels, storage compartments, gas station security, vending, and cash containment machines. It also provides original equipment and aftermarket stainless steel exhaust headers, exhaust pipes, mufflers, and other exhaust components; gauges, such as GPS speedometers and tachometers; mechanical, electronic controls, and throt…

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Frequently asked questions

Is NLI Holdings (NL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.77 versus a price of $5.84 — about −18% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NL?
Our 21-model fair value for NLI Holdings is $4.77 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.84.
What is the quality score of NL?
NLI Holdings has a Quality Score of 89/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.