Nippon Shokubai Co (NSHKF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.3B
Nippon Shokubai Co
NSHKF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −19.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range $7.20 – $28.80 · fair‑value band $7.46 – $12.46 · the $12.82 price screens above the $10.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Nippon Shokubai Co (NSHKF) currently trades at $12.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.66, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Shokubai Co generated revenue of $400B at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at $6.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.46 (bear case) to $12.46 (bull case); at $12.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -17%, NSHKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.95) versus Growth DCF ($2.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of chemical products in Japan and internationally. It operates in two segments: Materials Business and Solutions Business.
Full company description
Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of chemical products in Japan and internationally. It operates in two segments: Materials Business and Solutions Business. The Materials Business segment manufactures and sells acrylic acids, acrylates, superabsorbent polymers, ethylene oxides, ethylene glycols, ethanolamine, maleic anhydride, process catalysts, MMA monomers and polymers, and other chemicals. The Solutions Business segment manufactures and sells polymers for concrete admixtures, glycol ether, secondary alcohol ethoxylates, water soluble polymers, intermediates for pharmaceuticals, electronic information materials, iodine compounds, resins for adhesives/paints, ethyleneimine derivatives, processed adhesive products, and automotive catalysts, as well as De-NOx catalysts, dioxins decomposition catalysts, equipment for waste gas treatment, wet air oxidation catalysts, and materials for batteries. It also provides acrylic esters, maleimides, cyclic amides, initiators; water-based, solvent based and soluble polymers; inorganic and organic composite fine particles; and liquefied gas and fuel cell materials. In addition, the company produces and markets industrial materials, civil engineering and construction materials made of synthetic rubber latex or acrylic emulsion as base; and acrylic emulsion and fine products. The company was formerly known as Nippon Shokubai Kagaku Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd. in 1991. Nippon Shokubai Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Shokubai Co reported revenue of $400B in FY2026 versus $369B in FY2022, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was $16.8B in FY2026, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2022.
NSHKF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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