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NETSTREIT Corp (NTST) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.9B

NC NETSTREIT Corp logo NETSTREIT Corp NTST · US
Price$20.69
Fair Value$7.49
Upside-63.8%
Quality44/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.42% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $6.06 – $7.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −5.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.26 $11.96 Fair Value $7.49 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.96 – $22.26 · fair‑value band $6.06 – $7.49 · the $20.69 price screens above the $7.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NETSTREIT Corp (NTST) currently trades at $20.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.49, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NETSTREIT Corp generated revenue of $206M at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.06 (bear case) to $7.49 (bull case); at $20.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -64%, NTST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.18 $13.63 $30.06 80
Residual Income $9.46 $8.66 $5.46 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.12 $19.81 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.15 $11.19 $32.24 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.04 $15.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.67 $22.73 $52.28 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1600 $10.37 $15.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.58 $28.55 $66.95 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.64 $10.16 $13.99 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.64 $9.28 $10.85 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.9000 $1.21 $1.51 58
P/B Multiple $0.9000 $1.21 $1.51 55
EV/EBIT $0.2700 $4.09 $7.91 53
EV/EBITDA $9.00 $15.72 $22.44 54
EV/Revenue $0.5500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.43 $9.96 $14.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.18 $13.63 $30.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.12 $19.81 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.46 $8.66 $5.46 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.19) versus Multiples ($1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $206M
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.3%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow $109M FY2025
P/E ratio 160.0
More key figures
Operating margin 37.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1200
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +177%
Net debt $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NETSTREIT Corp. is an internally managed real estate investment trust based in Dallas, Texas that specializes in acquiring single-tenant net lease retail properties nationwide. The growing portfolio consists of high-quality properties leased to e-commerce resistant tenants with healthy balance sheets.

Full company description

NETSTREIT Corp. is an internally managed real estate investment trust based in Dallas, Texas that specializes in acquiring single-tenant net lease retail properties nationwide. The growing portfolio consists of high-quality properties leased to e-commerce resistant tenants with healthy balance sheets. Led by a management team of seasoned commercial real estate executives, NETSTREIT's strategy is to create the highest quality net lease retail portfolio in the country with the goal of generating consistent cash flows and dividends for its investors. NETSTREIT Corp. was incorporated in 2019 in Maryland and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NETSTREIT Corp reported revenue of $195M in FY2025 versus $59.1M in FY2021, a compound +34.8%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9M in FY2025, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$195M
Latest YoY
+19.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+42.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+35.0%
Revenue +34.8%/yr
FY21 $59.1M
FY22 $96.3M
FY23 $132M
FY24 $163M
FY25 $195M
Net income +22.7%/yr
FY21 $3.0M
FY22 $8.1M
FY23 $6.8M
FY24 −$11.9M
FY25 $6.9M

NTST screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NETSTREIT Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTST

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 160.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 3 · sector 30
HEALTH 62 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 88 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is NETSTREIT Corp (NTST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.49 versus a price of $20.69, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NTST?
Our model-based fair value for NETSTREIT Corp is $7.49 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.69.
What is the quality score of NTST?
NETSTREIT Corp has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NETSTREIT Corp (NTST)?
NETSTREIT Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $206M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NTST?
The net profit margin of NETSTREIT Corp is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NETSTREIT Corp pay a dividend?
NETSTREIT Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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