Nuix Limited (NXL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$439M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$1.89 to A$2.57 (+36.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +16.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.5300 – A$7.74 · fair‑value band A$1.96 – A$3.19 · the A$1.48 price screens below the A$2.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nuix Limited (NXL) currently trades at A$1.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.57, implying the stock looks roughly 73.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nuix Limited generated revenue of A$237M at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$35.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.96 (bear case) to A$3.19 (bull case); at A$1.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 74%, NXL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$1.32) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.3500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nuix Limited provides investigative analytics and intelligence software solutions in the Asia Pacific, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Full company description
Nuix Limited provides investigative analytics and intelligence software solutions in the Asia Pacific, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers Nuix Neo Platform, a solution-based offering that solves most challenging data problems; Nuix Neo Data Privacy for managing data privacy; Nuix Neo Investigations, collaborates in real time and uncover the truth with insights on a massive scale; and Nuix Neo Legal provides insights from data and make decisions for law firms and legal service providers. It also provides Nuix Neo Discover, an eDiscovery processing, review, analytics, and predictive coding in one software solution; Nuix Workstation, a platform that process file formats and source types to search and analyze, and turn data into information; Nuix Investigate, visualize communication patterns and establish case position sooner; Nuix Adaptive Security, detects potential internal and external threats to data security in real-time; and Nuix Enterprise Collection Center, a streamline and automate data collection for relocation, analysis, processing, and production. In addition, it offers Nuix Rampiva, an ediscovery workflow automation suite that has increased the data-processing throughput of the team. It serves government agencies, regulators, corporations, and professional service firms. The company was formerly known as Nuix Pty Ltd and changed its name to Nuix Limited in September 2020. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Nuix Limited reported revenue of A$222M in FY2024 versus A$176M in FY2020, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.2M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 714 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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