Österreichische Post AG (O3P) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Österreichische Post AG is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Österreichische Post AG
O3P · XETRALow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €20.82 – €36.12 · fair‑value band €24.87 – €41.59 · the €31.65 price screens below the €33.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Österreichische Post AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides postal and parcel services in Austria, Germany, Southeast and Eastern Europe, Turkey, and internationally. The company operates through three divisions: Mail, Parcel & Logistics, and Retail & Bank.
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Österreichische Post AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides postal and parcel services in Austria, Germany, Southeast and Eastern Europe, Turkey, and internationally. The company operates through three divisions: Mail, Parcel & Logistics, and Retail & Bank. The Mail division engages in the distribution, collection, sorting, and delivery of letters and document shipments, addressed and unaddressed direct mail, and newspapers and magazines, as well as online services, such as e-letter and cross-media solutions. This division also provides physical and digital services in customer communications and document processing. The Parcel & Logistics division offers solutions for parcel products, express delivery, and food delivery; stationary logistics for pharmaceutical products; and value-added services, including warehousing, order picking, returns management, and web shop logistics and infrastructure, as well as cash and valuable goods transportation services. The Retail & Bank division offers postal and telecommunication, and merchandise, as well as financial services offered by a retail ban and payment transaction services; and bank accounts, transfer services, consumer loans, investment and saving options, housing finance, and insurance; and self-service solutions, such as pick-up and drop-off stations at various locations. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria. Österreichische Post AG is a subsidiary of Österreichische Beteiligungs AG.
Stock analysis
Österreichische Post AG (O3P) currently trades at €31.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €33.27, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €36.25 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the €31.65 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €5.71, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €24.87 (bear) to €41.59 (bull), the price of €31.65 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Österreichische Post AG reported revenue of €3.0B in FY2025 versus €2.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was €132M in FY2025, compounding −3.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €2.1B · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) €1.62 · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 5%, O3P screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Österreichische Post AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $100.28 | $103.34 | +3% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $311.99 | $347.68 | +11% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.02 | €121.54 | +121% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,291 | kr 712.57 | −45% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 212.60 | CHF 147.92 | −30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $270.45 | $133.80 | −51% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.12 | ¥105.88 | +240% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $152.78 | $86.56 | −43% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $192.60 | $115.95 | −40% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $20.61 | $31.98 | +55% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Österreichische Post AG
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