Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
OCI N.V (OCINF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of OCI N.V $10.21, price $4.85, upside +110.5%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
- Add to watchlist
ON
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
OCI N.V
OCINF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $10.21 · Strongly undervalued (+110.5%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch OCI N.V for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
Pro now: $1 first month
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.07 – $9.02 · fair‑value band $7.61 – $14.98 · the $4.85 price screens below the $10.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
OCI N.V. produces and distributes hydrogen-based and natural gas-based products to agricultural, transportation, and industrial customers in Europe, the Americas, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Methanol US, Methanol Europe, and Nitrogen Europe segments.
Show more
OCI N.V. produces and distributes hydrogen-based and natural gas-based products to agricultural, transportation, and industrial customers in Europe, the Americas, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Methanol US, Methanol Europe, and Nitrogen Europe segments. The company offers anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, calcium ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulphate, ammonium nitrate + sulphur, renewable and lower carbon ammonia, nitric acid, melamine, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluid, as well as other nitrogen products. It also provides storage and shipment services for ammonia at the port of Rotterdam. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
OCI N.V (OCINF) currently trades at $4.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.21, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.80 per share, and 7 of the 8 models we run sit above the $4.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.41, and 1 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $7.61 (bear) to $14.98 (bull), the price of $4.85 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
OCI N.V reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $6.3B in FY2021, a compound −35.6%/yr. Reported net income was $184M in FY2025, compounding −24.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) $−1.63 · Net margin 16.9% · Return on equity −20.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin −3.8% · Revenue (TTM) $1.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 111%, OCINF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.61
Fair Value $10.21
Bull $14.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$8.41
$10.89
$14.38
78
Residual Income
$5.05
$6.13
$7.99
71
Growth-Adj P/E
$8.07
$11.52
$14.98
67
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$8.41
$10.89
$14.38
78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$5.92
$11.46
$14.32
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$11.10
$14.80
$18.50
63
P/S Multiple
$5.79
$7.72
$9.65
58
P/B Multiple
$11.10
$14.80
$18.50
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.55
$3.41
$5.09
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$5.05
$6.13
$7.99
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$8.07
$11.52
$14.98
67
Notify me when OCINF reaches fair value
Put OCINF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−51.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → −14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 21.5%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Watch OCINF, get fair value alerts →
Compare OCI N.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 696 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $474.65 | $441.72 | −7% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $330.44 | $151.68 | −54% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $274.58 | $96.56 | −65% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $279.19 | $121.30 | −57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 238.00 TWD | 234.23 TWD | −2% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,360 | CHF 1,527 | −55% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥69.45 | ¥68.03 | −2% |
| DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR | CHF 92.30 | CHF 29.70 | −68% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,444 | ₹1,479 | −39% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $104.67 | $76.98 | −26% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is OCI N.V (OCINF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.21 versus a price of $4.85, about +111% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OCINF?
Our model-based fair value for OCI N.V is $10.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.85.
What is the quality score of OCINF?
OCI N.V has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.61, optimistic scenario $14.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OCI N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.21, about +111% upside versus a price of $4.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.61, optimistic scenario $14.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
OCI N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OCI N.V it is $10.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.85. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OCI N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OCINF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.85, fair value $10.21, a gap of about +111% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCINF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.21). For OCI N.V the two are $5.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OCI N.V worth?
The market values OCI N.V at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.85; our models calculate a fair value of $10.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCINF?
Our models span a range for OCI N.V: cautious scenario $7.61, base $10.21, optimistic $14.98 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OCI N.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −20.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCINF from its 52-week high?
OCI N.V trades at $4.85, about 3% below its 52-week high of $5.00 and 44% above the low of $3.36 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OCI N.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OCI N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.85, calculated fair value $10.21 (+111%), Quality Score 52/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OCINF calculated?
We run OCI N.V through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OCI N.V currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.85. Our model-based fair value is $10.21, about +111% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OCI N.V right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($7.61 to $14.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of OCI N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The market capitalisation of OCI N.V is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OCI N.V is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Earnings per share at OCI N.V are $−1.63. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The net margin of OCI N.V is 16.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OCI N.V is −20.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OCI N.V is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OCI N.V (OCINF)?
The operating margin of OCI N.V is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Revenue at OCI N.V is growing +11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −51.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OCI N.V (OCINF)?
Earnings per share at OCI N.V are growing −88.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OCI N.V (OCINF) generate?
The free cash flow of OCI N.V is −$202M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OCI N.V (OCINF) carry?
The net debt of OCI N.V is $44.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch OCI N.V in the live analysis
One click puts OCI N.V on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.