Odlewnie Polskie SA (ODL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · PL · Market cap 412M PLN

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range (11.71 PLN to 21.75 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.12 PLN – 23.29 PLN · fair‑value band 11.71 PLN – 21.75 PLN · the 19.30 PLN price screens above the 16.73 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Odlewnie Polskie SA (ODL) currently trades at 19.30 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.73 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Odlewnie Polskie SA generated revenue of 242M PLN at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.1M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 11.71 PLN (bear case) to 21.75 PLN (bull case); at 19.30 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -13%, ODL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (16.73 PLN) versus Asset-Based (5.30 PLN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Odlewnie Polskie S.A. produces and sells castings in Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, the United States, Sweden, Hungary, Great Britain, Austria, Slovakia, Denmark, Turkey, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, France, and Serbia. It offers ductile iron products using grey, nodular, ADI, SiMo, and steel cast iron materials.

Full company description

Odlewnie Polskie S.A. produces and sells castings in Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, the United States, Sweden, Hungary, Great Britain, Austria, Slovakia, Denmark, Turkey, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, France, and Serbia. It offers ductile iron products using grey, nodular, ADI, SiMo, and steel cast iron materials. The company is involved in the buying ang selling of foreign castings; and provision of services in German foundries. In addition, it provides customer service, including design, production of foundry equipment and the creation of castings, their machining and heat treatment, as well as priming, assembly, and shipment services. The company offers its products to machine, automotive, industrial instruments, plumbing and sewage systems, heavy rail, energy, and appliance industries. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Starachowice, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Odlewnie Polskie SA reported revenue of 237M PLN in FY2025 versus 219M PLN in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1M PLN in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.

ODL screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.