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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.6B

Price$72.79
Fair Value$87.56
Upside+20.3%
Quality97/100
Evidence: High Range $53.70 – $109.45

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) currently trades at $72.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $87.56 — implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 97/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers health and beauty aids, food, candy, beverages, pet food and treats, laundry related products, and cleaning supplies; housewares and kitchen items, home decor products, furniture, household essential items, and home maintenance and utility items; patio furniture, air conditioners, fans, space heaters, toys, lawn and garden related products, outdoor items, holiday decor, gifts, and decorations products; books, stationery items, small electronic devices and accessories, clothing, sporting goods, pet products, automotive products, luggage and other general merchandise. It sells its products under the Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, American Way brands. The company was formerly known as Bargain Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, …

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $87.56 versus a price of $72.79 — about +20% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of OLLI?
Our 21-model fair value for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is $87.56 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $72.79.
What is the quality score of OLLI?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings has a Quality Score of 97/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.