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Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹3.6B

OP Orient Paper & Industries Limited ORIENTPPR · NSE
Price₹17.10
Fair Value₹5.46
Upside-68.1%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹3.92 – ₹6.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from ₹2.73 to ₹5.46 (+100.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹6.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹60.41 ₹13.98 Fair Value ₹5.46 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹13.98 – ₹60.41 · fair‑value band ₹3.92 – ₹6.90 · the ₹17.10 price screens above the ₹5.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) currently trades at ₹17.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5.46, implying the stock looks roughly 68.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Orient Paper & Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹9.1B at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.9%. Net debt stands at ₹2.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.92 (bear case) to ₹6.90 (bull case); at ₹17.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -68%, ORIENTPPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹2.20 ₹3.19 ₹4.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹2.20 ₹3.07 ₹4.04 61
NCAV (Graham) ₹34.60 ₹46.36 ₹69.19 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹2.20 ₹3.19 ₹4.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹2.20 ₹3.07 ₹4.04 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹34.60 ₹46.36 ₹69.19 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹46.36) versus Dividend Discount (₹3.07). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹9.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.6%
Net margin -3.2%
Return on equity -1.9%
Free cash flow −₹1.0B FY2026
Operating margin -5.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-1.36
EPS growth (YoY) +1,282%
Net debt ₹2.9B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orient Paper & Industries Limited manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in India and internationally. The company offers wood and bamboo pulp tissue paper for hygiene and wellness applications; and papers for writing and printing solutions, such as professional documentation, artistic use, carry bags, and cup stock.

Full company description

Orient Paper & Industries Limited manufactures and sells paper and paper-related products in India and internationally. The company offers wood and bamboo pulp tissue paper for hygiene and wellness applications; and papers for writing and printing solutions, such as professional documentation, artistic use, carry bags, and cup stock. It also sells caustic soda lye and flakes; and other chemicals, including hydrochloric acid, liquid chlorine, hydrochloric acid, stable bleaching powder, sodium and calcium hypochlorite, and bleaching powder for textile, water purification, sanitization-healthcare, chlorinated paraffin wax (CPW), chemicals and energy, manufacturing, and metals and mining industries, as well as soap manufacturers. Orient Paper & Industries Limited was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Kolkata, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Orient Paper & Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹9.1B in FY2026 versus ₹5.9B in FY2022, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −₹288M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹9.1B
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Revenue +11.5%/yr
FY22 ₹5.9B
FY23 ₹9.4B
FY24 ₹8.3B
FY25 ₹9.0B
FY26 ₹9.1B
Net income
FY22 −₹289M
FY23 ₹992M
FY24 ₹62.3M
FY25 −₹547M
FY26 −₹288M

ORIENTPPR screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient Paper & Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORIENTPPR

Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 27
FUTURE 28 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 95 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11 R$17.55 R$3.80 -78%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €23.18 €14.21 -39%
Suzano S.A SUZ $8.02 $23.77 +196%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB kr 109.40 kr 49.40 -55%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥13.94 ¥17.29 +24%
Holmen AB HOLMB kr 314.00 kr 217.72 -31%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$8.21 HK$8.74 +6%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 1,000 CLP 1,253 CLP +25%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥21.11 ¥21.06 -0%
Billerud AB BILL kr 77.60 kr 48.60 -37%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹5.46 versus a price of ₹17.10, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORIENTPPR?
Our model-based fair value for Orient Paper & Industries Limited is ₹5.46 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹17.10.
What is the quality score of ORIENTPPR?
Orient Paper & Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orient Paper & Industries Limited (ORIENTPPR)?
Orient Paper & Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹9.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ORIENTPPR?
The net profit margin of Orient Paper & Industries Limited is about -3.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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