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Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc (PAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $209M

PA Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc logo Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc PAL · US
Price$7.34
Fair Value$5.98
Upside-18.6%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.84 – $8.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +14.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.84 to $8.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$20.49 $4.92 Fair Value $5.98 May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $4.92 – $20.49 · fair‑value band $3.84 – $8.11 · the $7.34 price screens above the $5.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc (PAL) currently trades at $7.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.98, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc generated revenue of $429M at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.3%. Net debt stands at $83.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.84 (bear case) to $8.11 (bull case); at $7.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -19%, PAL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.27 $17.47 $28.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.49 $13.12 $24.98 74
ROIC Compounder $2.37 $2.82 $3.19 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.07 $16.09 $30.74 38
Owner Earnings $0.1100 $1.43 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.73 $11.28 $20.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.64 $29.27 $56.01 41
10Y Revenue Exit $8.14 $16.17 $20.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.89 $32.54 $65.07 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.37 $2.82 $3.19 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.10 $8.61 $11.12 53
EV/EBITDA $18.13 $24.65 $31.17 54
EV/Revenue $3.94 $6.25 $8.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.65 $7.57 $11.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.27 $17.47 $28.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.49 $13.12 $24.98 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.37 $2.82 $3.19 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($16.09) versus Earnings-Based ($2.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $429M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net margin -9.2%
Return on equity -12.3%
Free cash flow $29.3M FY2025
Operating margin -7.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.42
Net debt $83.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 30
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. provides auto transportation and logistics services in North America. The company operates through Company Drivers and Subhaulers segments. It primarily focuses on transporting and delivering finished vehicles from automotive production facilities, marine ports of entry, and rail yards to auto dealerships.

Full company description

Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. provides auto transportation and logistics services in North America. The company operates through Company Drivers and Subhaulers segments. It primarily focuses on transporting and delivering finished vehicles from automotive production facilities, marine ports of entry, and rail yards to auto dealerships. The company also owns and operates approximately 800 auto transport vehicles and trailers. It serves auto companies, electric vehicle producers, auto dealers, auto auctions, rental car companies, and auto leasing companies. The company was formerly known as AH Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. in October 2023. Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc reported revenue of $430M in FY2025 versus $130M in FY2022, a compound +49.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$33.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$430M
Latest YoY
+78.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.0%
Revenue +49.0%/yr
FY22 $130M
FY23 $136M
FY24 $241M
FY25 $430M
Net income
FY22 $10.4M
FY23 $7.2M
FY24 −$8.5M
FY25 −$33.4M

PAL screens 19% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAL

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Insider activity: 52/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc (PAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.98 versus a price of $7.34, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAL?
Our model-based fair value for Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc is $5.98 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.34.
What is the quality score of PAL?
Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc (PAL)?
Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $429M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAL?
The net profit margin of Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc is about -9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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