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Pitney Bowes Inc (PBI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.5B

PB Pitney Bowes Inc logo Pitney Bowes Inc PBI · US
Price$17.42
Fair Value$11.39
Upside-34.6%
Quality72/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
1.80% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $7.65 – $20.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $11.20 to $11.39 (+1.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($7.65 to $20.36). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.51 $2.00 Fair Value $11.39 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $18.51 · fair‑value band $7.65 – $20.36 · the $17.42 price screens above the $11.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc (PBI) currently trades at $17.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.39, implying the stock looks roughly 34.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pitney Bowes Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.65 (bear case) to $20.36 (bull case); at $17.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -35%, PBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.87 $16.10 $28.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.40 $13.54 $23.59 74
ROIC Compounder $10.28 $14.58 $18.68 72
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.01 $15.50 $28.96 38
Owner Earnings $0.5000 $5.26 $13.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.40 $13.05 $24.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.15 $28.20 $46.81 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.35 $11.23 $19.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.86 $11.56 $17.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.50 $20.72 $30.61 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.68 $10.46 $14.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.26 $8.88 $9.99 54
EPV $10.28 $13.88 $16.98 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $16.83 $22.44 $28.04 63
P/S Multiple $13.62 $18.16 $22.70 58
EV/EBIT $23.95 $36.09 $48.24 53
EV/EBITDA $23.41 $35.37 $47.33 54
EV/Revenue $5.12 $12.67 $20.21 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.87 $16.10 $28.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.40 $13.54 $23.59 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $10.28 $14.58 $18.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.88 $16.97 $22.07 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($22.44) versus Earnings-Based ($8.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow $300M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 23.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.04
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +105%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pitney Bowes Inc. provides digital shipping solutions, mailing innovation, and financial services worldwide. It operates through SendTech Solutions and Presort Services segments.

Full company description

Pitney Bowes Inc. provides digital shipping solutions, mailing innovation, and financial services worldwide. It operates through SendTech Solutions and Presort Services segments. The SendTech Solutions segment offers physical and digital shipping and mailing technology solutions and other applications for sending, tracking, and receiving of letters, parcels and flats, as well as supplies and maintenance services. This segment also provides financing alternatives to finance other manufacturers' equipment and product purchases. The Presort Services segment operates as a workshare partner of the United States Postal Service; and offers mail sortation services. It markets its products, solutions, and services through direct and inside sales force, partner channels, direct mailings, and digital channels. The company was formerly known as Pitney Bowes Postage Meter Company. Pitney Bowes Inc. was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Shelton, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pitney Bowes Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $3.7B in FY2021, a compound −15.3%/yr. Reported net income was $145M in FY2025, compounding +153.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+0.1%
Revenue −15.3%/yr
FY21 $3.7B
FY22 $3.5B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $1.9B
Net income +153.4%/yr
FY21 $3.5M
FY22 $36.9M
FY23 −$386M
FY24 $10.2M
FY25 $145M

PBI screens 35% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pitney Bowes Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 45
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 44 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 36 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pitney Bowes Inc (PBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.39 versus a price of $17.42, about −35% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PBI?
Our model-based fair value for Pitney Bowes Inc is $11.39 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.42.
What is the quality score of PBI?
Pitney Bowes Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pitney Bowes Inc (PBI)?
Pitney Bowes Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PBI?
The net profit margin of Pitney Bowes Inc is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pitney Bowes Inc pay a dividend?
Pitney Bowes Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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