Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. $22.98, price $16.98, upside +35.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.98 – $21.75 · fair‑value band $11.34 – $34.62 · the $16.98 price screens below the $22.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust.
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Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and dependable cash dividends by investing in, owning and operating a portfolio of single tenant net leased commercial income properties that are predominately leased to high-quality publicly traded and credit-rated tenants. The Company also complements its income property portfolio by strategically investing in a select portfolio of commercial loan investments intended to deliver an attractive risk-adjusted return. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. was established and incorporated on August 19, 2019 in Maryland and is based in Winter Park, Florida.
Stock analysis
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) currently trades at $16.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.98, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $14.16 per share, and 1 of the 5 models we run sit above the $16.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.35, and 4 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $11.34 (bear) to $34.62 (bull), the price of $16.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. reported revenue of $60.5M in FY2025 versus $30.1M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $340M · P/S ratio 5.25 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 38.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 35%, PINE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.34Fair Value $22.98Bull $34.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.6% (2020) → 30.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 94 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)38% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.35× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINE
Frequently asked questions
Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.98 versus a price of $16.98, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PINE?
Our model-based fair value for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is $22.98 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.98.
What is the quality score of PINE?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.98 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.34, optimistic scenario $34.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.98, about +35% upside versus a price of $16.98 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $11.34, optimistic scenario $34.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $64.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. pay a dividend?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. it is $22.98 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $16.98. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PINE trades below its calculated fair value: price $16.98, fair value $22.98, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PINE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.98). For Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. the two are $6.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. worth?
The market values Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. at about $340M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $16.98; our models calculate a fair value of $22.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PINE?
Our models span a range for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.: cautious scenario $11.34, base $22.98, optimistic $34.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $16.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.3%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PINE from its 52-week high?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. trades at $16.98, about 22% below its 52-week high of $21.75 and 35% above the low of $12.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, Kimco Realty Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $16.98, calculated fair value $22.98 (+35%), Quality Score 29/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PINE calculated?
We run Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $16.98. Our model-based fair value is $22.98, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($11.34 to $34.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The market capitalisation of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is $340M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is 5.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Earnings per share at Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The dividend yield of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is 6.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The net margin of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
The operating margin of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is 38.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Revenue at Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is growing +29.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE)?
Earnings per share at Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. are growing +75.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) generate?
The free cash flow of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is −$82.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) carry?
The net debt of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is $390M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026