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Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc (PINE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $340M

AI Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc logo Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc PINE · US
Price$19.98
Fair Value$22.98
Upside+15.0%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
6.01% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $11.34 – $34.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($11.34 to $34.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.75 $11.98 Fair Value $22.98 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.98 – $21.75 · fair‑value band $11.34 – $34.62 · the $19.98 price screens below the $22.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc (PINE) currently trades at $19.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.98, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc generated revenue of $64.7M at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 29.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at $390M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.34 (bear case) to $34.62 (bull case); at $19.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 15%, PINE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $8.60 $15.50 $21.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.60 $14.16 $16.55 61
EV/EBITDA $12.34 $23.97 $35.61 54
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.60 $15.50 $21.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.60 $14.16 $16.55 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $2.03 $8.18 53
EV/EBITDA $12.34 $23.97 $35.61 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.47 $11.35 $16.94 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($14.16) versus Multiples ($2.03). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $64.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.6%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 0.3%
Free cash flow −$82.8M FY2025
Operating margin 38.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800
Dividend yield 6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +75.7%
Net debt $390M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and dependable cash dividends by investing in, owning and operating a portfolio of single tenant net leased commercial income properties that are predominately leased to high-quality publicly traded and …

Full company description

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm seeks to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns and dependable cash dividends by investing in, owning and operating a portfolio of single tenant net leased commercial income properties that are predominately leased to high-quality publicly traded and credit-rated tenants. The Company also complements its income property portfolio by strategically investing in a select portfolio of commercial loan investments intended to deliver an attractive risk-adjusted return. Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. was established and incorporated on August 19, 2019 in Maryland and is based in Winter Park, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc reported revenue of $60.5M in FY2025 versus $30.1M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$60.5M
Latest YoY
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.9%
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 $30.1M
FY22 $45.2M
FY23 $45.6M
FY24 $52.2M
FY25 $60.5M
Net income
FY21 $10.0M
FY22 $29.7M
FY23 $2.9M
FY24 $2.1M
FY25 −$2.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINE

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.21× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.25× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 1 · sector 30
HEALTH 33 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc (PINE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.98 versus a price of $19.98, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PINE?
Our model-based fair value for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc is $22.98 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.98.
What is the quality score of PINE?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc (PINE)?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $64.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PINE?
The net profit margin of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc pay a dividend?
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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