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Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company (PNJ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · VN · Market cap 22.4T VND

PN Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company PNJ · VN
Price36,000 VND
Fair Value80,646 VND
Upside+124.0%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 42,635 VND – 117,457 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 80,737 VND to 80,646 VND (−0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −30.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 124% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (42,635 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (42,635 VND to 117,457 VND). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

84,667 VND 30,750 VND Fair Value 80,646 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 30,750 VND – 84,667 VND · fair‑value band 42,635 VND – 117,457 VND · the 36,000 VND price screens below the 80,646 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company (PNJ) currently trades at 36,000 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 80,646 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 124.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 42.6T VND at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 79.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. Net debt stands at 3.7T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 42,635 VND (bear case) to 117,457 VND (bull case); at 36,000 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 124%, PNJ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 38,438 VND 52,022 VND 266,981 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 66,474 VND 86,906 VND 112,378 VND 72
Gordon GGM 12,664 VND 27,647 VND 46,517 VND 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 69,655 VND 116,812 VND 196,035 VND 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37,586 VND 137,924 VND 186,210 VND 54
Lynch FV 32,927 VND 47,038 VND 61,150 VND 50
PEG = 1.0 32,927 VND 47,038 VND 61,150 VND 46
EPV 60,325 VND 70,791 VND 80,095 VND 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12,664 VND 27,647 VND 46,517 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 12,664 VND 22,647 VND 28,812 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 91,202 VND 121,603 VND 152,003 VND 63
P/S Multiple 61,515 VND 82,019 VND 102,524 VND 58
P/B Multiple 70,474 VND 93,966 VND 117,457 VND 55
EV/EBIT 94,317 VND 125,419 VND 156,520 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 64,716 VND 85,950 VND 107,185 VND 54
EV/Revenue 58,426 VND 83,032 VND 107,638 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12,972 VND 17,382 VND 25,943 VND 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 38,438 VND 52,022 VND 266,981 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 66,474 VND 86,906 VND 112,378 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 63,551 VND 90,787 VND 118,023 VND 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (116,812 VND) versus Asset-Based (17,382 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 42.6T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +79.0%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 27.7%
Free cash flow −96.7B VND FY2025
P/E ratio 9.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.8%
EPS (TTM) 6,545 VND
EPS growth (YoY) +117%
Net debt 3.7T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company manufactures, trades, imports, and exports gold, silver, jewelry, gemstones, fashion accessories, and souvenirs in Vietnam. The company is also involved in the provision of testing services for diamonds, gems, and precious metals; trading of watches; and consultancy and appraisal services for gold, silver, and gemstones.

Full company description

Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company manufactures, trades, imports, and exports gold, silver, jewelry, gemstones, fashion accessories, and souvenirs in Vietnam. The company is also involved in the provision of testing services for diamonds, gems, and precious metals; trading of watches; and consultancy and appraisal services for gold, silver, and gemstones. The company sells its products through stores and online sales channels. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 35.0T VND in FY2025 versus 19.5T VND in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8T VND in FY2025, compounding +28.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.0T VND
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+12.8%
Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY21 19.5T VND
FY22 33.9T VND
FY23 33.1T VND
FY24 37.8T VND
FY25 35.0T VND
Net income +28.8%/yr
FY21 1.0T VND
FY22 1.8T VND
FY23 2.0T VND
FY24 2.1T VND
FY25 2.8T VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNJ

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 132 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +124% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 79% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 13
FUTURE 100 · sector 50
PAST 100 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company (PNJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 80,646 VND versus a price of 36,000 VND, about +124% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PNJ?
Our model-based fair value for Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company is 80,646 VND (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 36,000 VND.
What is the quality score of PNJ?
Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company (PNJ)?
Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.6T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNJ?
The net profit margin of Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Company is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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