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PTC Inc (PTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $14.2B

PI PTC Inc logo PTC Inc PTC · US
Price$147.66
Fair Value$115.54
Upside-21.8%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 41.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range $77.34 – $147.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +18.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($77.34 to $147.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$216.53 $97.62 Fair Value $115.54 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $97.62 – $216.53 · fair‑value band $77.34 – $147.00 · the $147.66 price screens above the $115.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

PTC Inc (PTC) currently trades at $147.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $115.54, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PTC Inc generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 41.6%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.4%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $77.34 (bear case) to $147.00 (bull case); at $147.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -22%, PTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $79.95 $134.46 $220.99 80
Residual Income $42.54 $58.82 $276.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF $47.63 $77.00 $112.42 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $79.12 $134.67 $223.11 38
Owner Earnings $79.30 $134.95 $223.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit $47.63 $76.41 $112.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $77.29 $133.67 $200.69 41
5Y P/E Exit $77.87 $134.78 $196.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit $56.66 $86.26 $126.04 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $77.12 $126.70 $195.13 37
10Y P/E Exit $77.49 $127.48 $191.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $43.21 $155.46 $209.54 54
Lynch FV $36.74 $52.49 $68.24 50
PEG = 1.0 $36.74 $52.49 $68.24 46
EPV $57.10 $68.04 $77.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.55 $13.63 $21.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.55 $11.49 $14.30 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $95.32 $127.09 $158.87 63
P/S Multiple $44.47 $59.29 $74.11 58
P/B Multiple $74.53 $99.38 $124.22 55
EV/EBIT $106.26 $144.54 $182.81 53
EV/EBITDA $85.80 $117.25 $148.70 54
EV/Revenue $32.95 $50.73 $68.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.56 $22.19 $33.13 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $79.95 $134.46 $220.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $47.63 $77.00 $112.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $42.54 $58.82 $276.74 76
ROIC Compounder $62.96 $85.04 $113.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $67.92 $97.03 $126.14 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($127.48) versus Dividend Discount ($11.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.7%
Net margin 41.6%
Return on equity 34.4%
Free cash flow $857M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 41.6%
EPS (TTM) $10.41
EPS growth (YoY) +269%
Net debt $1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PTC Inc. operates as software company in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides Windchill, a suite that manages all aspects of the product development lifecycle(PLM) that provides real-time information sharing, dynamic data visualization, collaborate across geographically distributed teams, and enabling manufacturers to elevate …

Full company description

PTC Inc. operates as software company in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides Windchill, a suite that manages all aspects of the product development lifecycle(PLM) that provides real-time information sharing, dynamic data visualization, collaborate across geographically distributed teams, and enabling manufacturers to elevate product development, manufacturing, field service, and end-of-life processes; ThingWorx, an Industrial Internet of Things software; ServiceMax, a service lifecycle management solutions enable companies to asset uptime with optimized in-person and remote service and technician productivity with mobile tools, and deliver metrics; and Arena, a SaaS PLM solution enables product teams to collaborate virtually to share product and quality information with internal teams and supply chain partners and deliver products to customers. It offers Codebeamer, an application lifecycle management for products and software development; Servigistics, a service parts management solution; and FlexPLM, a platform for merchandising and line planning, materials management, sampling, and others. In addition, it offers Kepware, an enterprise industrial connectivity solution; Kepware Edge, a Linux-based industrial communications platform; KEPServerEX, an industrial connectivity solution for small projects; Creo, a 3D CAD technology enables the digital design, testing, and modification of product models; and Onshape, a SaaS product development platform that delivers computer-aided design with data management, collaboration tools, and real-time analytics. Further, it offers Vuforia, an augmented reality (AR) software; and Arbortext, a dynamic publishing solution streamlines how organizations create, manage, and publish technical documentation. Additionally, the company provides PTC Products; PTC Mathcad; and augmented reality product. PTC Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PTC Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $734M in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+16.6%
Revenue +11.0%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.3B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +11.4%/yr
FY21 $477M
FY22 $313M
FY23 $246M
FY24 $376M
FY25 $734M

PTC screens 22% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTC Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.03× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 37
PAST 100 · sector 13
HEALTH 85 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PTC Inc (PTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $115.54 versus a price of $147.66, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTC?
Our model-based fair value for PTC Inc is $115.54 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $147.66.
What is the quality score of PTC?
PTC Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PTC Inc (PTC)?
PTC Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTC?
The net profit margin of PTC Inc is about 41.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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