PTC Inc (PTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $14.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +18.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($77.34 to $147.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $97.62 – $216.53 · fair‑value band $77.34 – $147.00 · the $147.66 price screens above the $115.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
PTC Inc (PTC) currently trades at $147.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $115.54, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PTC Inc generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 41.6%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.4%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $77.34 (bear case) to $147.00 (bull case); at $147.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -22%, PTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($127.48) versus Dividend Discount ($11.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PTC Inc. operates as software company in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides Windchill, a suite that manages all aspects of the product development lifecycle(PLM) that provides real-time information sharing, dynamic data visualization, collaborate across geographically distributed teams, and enabling manufacturers to elevate …
Full company description
PTC Inc. operates as software company in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides Windchill, a suite that manages all aspects of the product development lifecycle(PLM) that provides real-time information sharing, dynamic data visualization, collaborate across geographically distributed teams, and enabling manufacturers to elevate product development, manufacturing, field service, and end-of-life processes; ThingWorx, an Industrial Internet of Things software; ServiceMax, a service lifecycle management solutions enable companies to asset uptime with optimized in-person and remote service and technician productivity with mobile tools, and deliver metrics; and Arena, a SaaS PLM solution enables product teams to collaborate virtually to share product and quality information with internal teams and supply chain partners and deliver products to customers. It offers Codebeamer, an application lifecycle management for products and software development; Servigistics, a service parts management solution; and FlexPLM, a platform for merchandising and line planning, materials management, sampling, and others. In addition, it offers Kepware, an enterprise industrial connectivity solution; Kepware Edge, a Linux-based industrial communications platform; KEPServerEX, an industrial connectivity solution for small projects; Creo, a 3D CAD technology enables the digital design, testing, and modification of product models; and Onshape, a SaaS product development platform that delivers computer-aided design with data management, collaboration tools, and real-time analytics. Further, it offers Vuforia, an augmented reality (AR) software; and Arbortext, a dynamic publishing solution streamlines how organizations create, manage, and publish technical documentation. Additionally, the company provides PTC Products; PTC Mathcad; and augmented reality product. PTC Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PTC Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $734M in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.
PTC screens 22% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- PTC Q2 Deep Dive: AI Initiatives Offset Revenue Miss, Guidance Raised for Next Quarter
- PTC's AI-Led Lifecycle Strategy Reshapes Its Long-Term Growth Outlook
- PTC Rides AI, Cloud and Product Data Trends Across Industrial Markets
- Is PTC Stock Attractive After Its Sharp Pullback and Mixed Earnings?
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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