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Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company (PTL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 13.1B THB

PT Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company PTL · BK
Price14.70 THB
Fair Value9.18 THB
Upside-37.6%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.83% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range 6.60 THB – 12.14 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 15.62 THB to 9.18 THB (−41.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.14 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (6.60 THB to 12.14 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

25.96 THB 7.70 THB Fair Value 9.18 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.70 THB – 25.96 THB · fair‑value band 6.60 THB – 12.14 THB · the 14.70 THB price screens above the 9.18 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company (PTL) currently trades at 14.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.18 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company generated revenue of 20.4B THB at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at 1.2B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.60 THB (bear case) to 12.14 THB (bull case); at 14.70 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -38%, PTL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 10.28 THB 14.97 THB 21.77 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6.60 THB 9.26 THB 12.41 THB 74
ROIC Compounder 3.05 THB 3.39 THB 3.69 THB 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 10.15 THB 15.51 THB 23.83 THB 38
Owner Earnings 1.66 THB 2.03 THB 2.61 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.60 THB 9.17 THB 12.36 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 11.63 THB 18.71 THB 27.04 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 7.67 THB 10.34 THB 13.82 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.01 THB 17.02 THB 25.16 THB 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 3.05 THB 3.39 THB 3.69 THB 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 5.49 THB 6.97 THB 8.46 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 13.76 THB 18.01 THB 22.25 THB 54
EV/Revenue 4.89 THB 6.55 THB 8.21 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.72 THB 14.36 THB 21.43 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 10.28 THB 14.97 THB 21.77 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6.60 THB 9.26 THB 12.41 THB 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 3.05 THB 3.39 THB 3.69 THB 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (14.36 THB) versus Earnings-Based (3.39 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 20.4B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.7%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -0.5%
Free cash flow 711M THB FY2026
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.2000 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -74.0%
Net debt 1.2B THB FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes polyester films, metalized films, extrusion-coated films, cast polypropylene films, silicone-coated films, blown films, holographic films, and PET resins in Thailand and internationally.

Full company description

Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes polyester films, metalized films, extrusion-coated films, cast polypropylene films, silicone-coated films, blown films, holographic films, and PET resins in Thailand and internationally. The company offers Sarafil, a range of plastic films, including BOPET, a thick and thin polyester resin film; BOPP, a transparent biaxially oriented polypropylene resin film; CPP films, transparent cast polypropylene films; BLOWN PP for packaging and industrial applications; and sustainable films for carbon footprint reduction. It also provides Saracote, a range of silicone-coated films for use in pressure-sensitive adhesive applications as a carrier film for labels, tapes, roofing shingles, and peel-and-stick underlayments. In addition, the company offers Saralam, a range of extrusion-coated film products comprising BOPET thermal lamination films for brochures, catalogues, menu cards, mark sheets, maps, and other publicity material; metallized BOPET lamination films for UV offset printing and roof insulation applications; and BOPP thermal lamination films for use in textbook covers, brochures, leaflets, sweet boxes, cosmetics, shopping bags, and diaries. Further, it manufactures and distributes recycled plastic products and chips. Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company reported revenue of 20.4B THB in FY2026 versus 21.5B THB in FY2022, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −177M THB in FY2026.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
20.4B THB
Latest YoY
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY22 21.5B THB
FY23 26.3B THB
FY24 20.9B THB
FY25 22.3B THB
FY26 20.4B THB
Net income
FY22 3.5B THB
FY23 2.1B THB
FY24 301M THB
FY25 1.2B THB
FY26 −177M THB

PTL screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTL

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 668 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company (PTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.18 THB versus a price of 14.70 THB, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTL?
Our model-based fair value for Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company is 9.18 THB (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.70 THB.
What is the quality score of PTL?
Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company (PTL)?
Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTL?
The net profit margin of Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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