Qube Holdings (QUB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$9.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from A$0.6100 to A$0.6000 (−1.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.6100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.08 – A$5.11 · fair‑value band A$0.4500 – A$0.6100 · the A$5.11 price screens above the A$0.6000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Qube Holdings (QUB) currently trades at A$5.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.6000, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qube Holdings generated revenue of A$4.4B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at A$2.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.4500 (bear case) to A$0.6100 (bull case); at A$5.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -88%, QUB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$1.13) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qube Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides import and export logistics services in Australia, New Zealand, and Southeast Asia. It operates through two segments, Operating Division and Patrick.
Full company description
Qube Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides import and export logistics services in Australia, New Zealand, and Southeast Asia. It operates through two segments, Operating Division and Patrick. The company offers logistics and infrastructure solutions, including containerised cargo and grain trading, as well as outsourced industrial logistics across the heavy transport, mobile crane, and renewable energy industries. It also provides import/export supply chain services, such as road and rail transport of containers to and from ports, operation of container parks, customs and quarantine services, warehousing, international freight forwarding, lifting services or equipment, bulk rail and containerised haulage storage, and handling of rural commodities, as well as operation of automotive and break-bulk, grain, intermodal, and regional rail terminals. In addition, the company offers port logistics, such as processing and delivery of energy and forestry products, project, and general cargo; bulk logistics comprising mine-to-ship transport, stockpile management, and storage facilities; container sale, hire, modification, and stevedoring services. Further, it operates Australian Amalgamated terminals. The company was formerly known as Qube Logistics Holdings Limited and changed its name to Qube Holdings Limited in November 2012. Qube Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qube Holdings reported revenue of A$4.1B in FY2025 versus A$1.9B in FY2021, a compound +20.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$51.3M in FY2025, compounding −13.5%/yr from FY2021.
QUB screens 88% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
Compare Qube Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Qube Holdings (QUB) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of QUB?
What is the quality score of QUB?
What is the revenue of Qube Holdings (QUB)?
What is the net profit margin of QUB?
Does Qube Holdings pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Qube Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.