Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Rayonier Advanced Materials $14.66, price $9.14, upside +60.4%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.54 – $11.75 · fair‑value band $8.27 – $21.05 · the $9.14 price screens below the $14.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp.
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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp. The company's products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-oriented products, such as liquid crystal displays, impact-resistant plastics, thickeners for food products, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, cigarette filters, high-tenacity rayon tire cords and industrial hoses, food casings, paints, lacquers, munitions, and explosives; and biomaterials, including biofuels, lignosulfonates, prebiotics, tall oil soap, and HCE and turpentine. It also offers commodity products, such as commodity viscose used in woven applications, including rayon textiles for clothing and other fabrics, as well as in non-woven applications comprising baby wipes, cosmetic and personal wipes, industrial wipes, and mattress ticking; and absorbent materials consisting of fluff that are used as an absorbent medium in disposable baby diapers, feminine hygiene products, incontinence pads, convalescent bed pads, industrial towels and wipes, and non-woven fabrics. In addition, the company provides paperboards for packaging, printing documents, brochures, promotional materials, paperback books and catalog covers, file folders, freezer, tags, and lottery tickets; and high-yield pulps to produce hardwood aspen, maple, and birch species for paperboard, packaging, printing and writing papers, and various other paper products. Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Stock analysis
Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) currently trades at $9.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.66, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $8.27 (bear) to $21.05 (bull), the price of $9.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Rayonier Advanced Materials reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$421M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $610M · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) $−7.10 · Net margin −28.7% · Return on equity −101% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% · Operating margin −8.9% · Revenue (TTM) $1.4B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 60%, RYAM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $8.27Fair Value $14.66Bull $21.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.3% (2020) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Rayonier Advanced Materials with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.66 versus a price of $9.14, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RYAM?
Our model-based fair value for Rayonier Advanced Materials is $14.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.14.
What is the quality score of RYAM?
Rayonier Advanced Materials has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.27, optimistic scenario $21.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rayonier Advanced Materials stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.66, about +60% upside versus a price of $9.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.27, optimistic scenario $21.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Rayonier Advanced Materials reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rayonier Advanced Materials it is $14.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $9.14. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rayonier Advanced Materials stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RYAM trades below its calculated fair value: price $9.14, fair value $14.66, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RYAM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.66). For Rayonier Advanced Materials the two are $5.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rayonier Advanced Materials worth?
The market values Rayonier Advanced Materials at about $610M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $9.14; our models calculate a fair value of $14.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RYAM?
Our models span a range for Rayonier Advanced Materials: cautious scenario $8.27, base $14.66, optimistic $21.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $9.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of RYAM?
The PEG ratio of Rayonier Advanced Materials is 2.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rayonier Advanced Materials (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −100.5%, debt of 2.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RYAM from its 52-week high?
Rayonier Advanced Materials trades at $9.14, about 22% below its 52-week high of $11.75 and 66% above the low of $5.52 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rayonier Advanced Materials?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rayonier Advanced Materials stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $9.14, calculated fair value $14.66 (+60%), Quality Score 32/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RYAM calculated?
We run Rayonier Advanced Materials through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Rayonier Advanced Materials currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $9.14. Our model-based fair value is $14.66, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rayonier Advanced Materials right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($8.27 to $21.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Rayonier Advanced Materials
How large is the market capitalisation of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The market capitalisation of Rayonier Advanced Materials is $610M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rayonier Advanced Materials is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Earnings per share at Rayonier Advanced Materials are $−7.10. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The net margin of Rayonier Advanced Materials is −28.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rayonier Advanced Materials is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rayonier Advanced Materials is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
The operating margin of Rayonier Advanced Materials is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Revenue at Rayonier Advanced Materials is growing −9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)?
Earnings per share at Rayonier Advanced Materials are growing −70.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) generate?
The free cash flow of Rayonier Advanced Materials is −$92.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) carry?
The net debt of Rayonier Advanced Materials is $704M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026