Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $553M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $14.08 to $14.02 (−0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 55% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.91 to $20.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.54 – $11.75 · fair‑value band $7.91 – $20.14 · the $9.02 price screens below the $14.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) currently trades at $9.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.02, implying the stock looks roughly 55.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of -32.8%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $704M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.91 (bear case) to $20.14 (bull case); at $9.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 169% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 55%, RYAM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.33) versus Asset-Based ($3.14). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp.
Full company description
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp. The company's products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-oriented products, such as liquid crystal displays, impact-resistant plastics, thickeners for food products, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, cigarette filters, high-tenacity rayon tire cords and industrial hoses, food casings, paints, lacquers, munitions, and explosives; and biomaterials, including biofuels, lignosulfonates, prebiotics, tall oil soap, and HCE and turpentine. It also offers commodity products, such as commodity viscose used in woven applications, including rayon textiles for clothing and other fabrics, as well as in non-woven applications comprising baby wipes, cosmetic and personal wipes, industrial wipes, and mattress ticking; and absorbent materials consisting of fluff that are used as an absorbent medium in disposable baby diapers, feminine hygiene products, incontinence pads, convalescent bed pads, industrial towels and wipes, and non-woven fabrics. In addition, the company provides paperboards for packaging, printing documents, brochures, promotional materials, paperback books and catalog covers, file folders, freezer, tags, and lottery tickets; and high-yield pulps to produce hardwood aspen, maple, and birch species for paperboard, packaging, printing and writing papers, and various other paper products. Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$421M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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