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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $553M

RA Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc logo Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc RYAM · US
Price$9.02
Fair Value$14.02
Upside+55.4%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -32.8% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range $7.91 – $20.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $14.08 to $14.02 (−0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 55% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.91 to $20.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.75 $2.54 Fair Value $14.02 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.54 – $11.75 · fair‑value band $7.91 – $20.14 · the $9.02 price screens below the $14.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) currently trades at $9.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.02, implying the stock looks roughly 55.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of -32.8%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $704M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.91 (bear case) to $20.14 (bull case); at $9.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 169% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 55%, RYAM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $8.22 $14.33 $20.45 54
NCAV (Graham) $2.35 $3.14 $4.69 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $8.22 $14.33 $20.45 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.35 $3.14 $4.69 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.33) versus Asset-Based ($3.14). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net margin -32.8%
Return on equity -101%
Free cash flow −$92.0M FY2025
Operating margin -8.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-7.10
EPS growth (YoY) -70.4%
Net debt $704M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp.

Full company description

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp. The company's products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-oriented products, such as liquid crystal displays, impact-resistant plastics, thickeners for food products, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, cigarette filters, high-tenacity rayon tire cords and industrial hoses, food casings, paints, lacquers, munitions, and explosives; and biomaterials, including biofuels, lignosulfonates, prebiotics, tall oil soap, and HCE and turpentine. It also offers commodity products, such as commodity viscose used in woven applications, including rayon textiles for clothing and other fabrics, as well as in non-woven applications comprising baby wipes, cosmetic and personal wipes, industrial wipes, and mattress ticking; and absorbent materials consisting of fluff that are used as an absorbent medium in disposable baby diapers, feminine hygiene products, incontinence pads, convalescent bed pads, industrial towels and wipes, and non-woven fabrics. In addition, the company provides paperboards for packaging, printing documents, brochures, promotional materials, paperback books and catalog covers, file folders, freezer, tags, and lottery tickets; and high-yield pulps to produce hardwood aspen, maple, and birch species for paperboard, packaging, printing and writing papers, and various other paper products. Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$421M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+2.6%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $1.7B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income
FY21 $66.4M
FY22 −$14.9M
FY23 −$102M
FY24 −$39.0M
FY25 −$421M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RYAM

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +55% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.02 versus a price of $9.02, about +55% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RYAM?
Our model-based fair value for Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc is $14.02 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.02.
What is the quality score of RYAM?
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc (RYAM)?
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RYAM?
The net profit margin of Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc is about -32.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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