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Safari Industries (India) Limited (SAFARI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹79.2B

SI Safari Industries (India) Limited SAFARI · NSE
Price₹1,497
Fair Value₹694.51
Upside-53.6%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range ₹445.02 – ₹860.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹860.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹445.02 to ₹860.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,719 ₹255.28 Fair Value ₹694.51 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹255.28 – ₹2,719 · fair‑value band ₹445.02 – ₹860.31 · the ₹1,497 price screens above the ₹694.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Safari Industries (India) Limited (SAFARI) currently trades at ₹1,497, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹694.51, implying the stock looks roughly 53.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Safari Industries (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹20.5B at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹445.02 (bear case) to ₹860.31 (bull case); at ₹1,497, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -54%, SAFARI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹442.96 ₹776.55 ₹1,451 80
Residual Income ₹228.25 ₹312.74 ₹1,052 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹464.15 ₹863.75 ₹1,635 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹467.46 ₹703.96 ₹1,457 38
Owner Earnings ₹593.17 ₹1,280 ₹2,720 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹451.97 ₹762.36 ₹1,414 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹543.64 ₹947.73 ₹1,741 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹594.66 ₹1,306 ₹2,283 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹447.97 ₹964.56 ₹1,308 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹530.80 ₹1,162 ₹2,278 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹568.03 ₹1,272 ₹2,447 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹232.83 ₹1,624 ₹2,279 54
Lynch FV ₹658.16 ₹940.23 ₹1,222 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹658.16 ₹940.23 ₹1,222 46
EPV ₹349.75 ₹398.86 ₹441.83 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹31.99 ₹66.51 ₹105.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹31.99 ₹56.09 ₹69.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹564.96 ₹753.28 ₹941.60 63
P/S Multiple ₹376.02 ₹501.36 ₹626.70 58
P/B Multiple ₹436.56 ₹582.08 ₹727.60 55
EV/EBIT ₹606.62 ₹790.46 ₹974.29 53
EV/EBITDA ₹552.50 ₹718.30 ₹884.10 54
EV/Revenue ₹406.06 ₹556.46 ₹706.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹113.75 ₹152.43 ₹227.50 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹442.96 ₹776.55 ₹1,451 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹464.15 ₹863.75 ₹1,635 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹228.25 ₹312.74 ₹1,052 76
ROIC Compounder ₹447.96 ₹651.21 ₹784.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹840.12 ₹1,200 ₹1,560 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,200) versus Dividend Discount (₹56.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹20.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net margin 8.2%
Return on equity 16.2%
Free cash flow ₹1.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 43.7
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹34.27
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -0.3%
Net cash ₹1.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Safari Industries (India) Limited designs, manufactures, and markets luggage, backpacks, and travel accessories in India.

Full company description

Safari Industries (India) Limited designs, manufactures, and markets luggage, backpacks, and travel accessories in India. The company offers printed, laptop, hard, and soft luggage bags; school, laptop, office, college, anti-theft, tech, expandable storage, formal, adventure, and overnighters backpacks; accessories, such as sling bags, messenger bags, and neck pillows; and duffle bags. It sells its products under the Safari, Safari Select, Genius, Urban Jungle, and Genie brands through website and stores, as well as through e-commerce platforms. Safari Industries (India) Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Safari Industries (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹20.5B in FY2026 versus ₹7.0B in FY2022, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.7B in FY2026, compounding +65.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹20.5B
Latest YoY
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.3%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Revenue +30.6%/yr
FY22 ₹7.0B
FY23 ₹12.1B
FY24 ₹15.5B
FY25 ₹17.7B
FY26 ₹20.5B
Net income +65.5%/yr
FY22 ₹224M
FY23 ₹1.3B
FY24 ₹1.8B
FY25 ₹1.4B
FY26 ₹1.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +40.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.3 pp

of which total revenue +22.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin +22.9 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SAFARI screens 54% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Safari Industries (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFARI

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 28.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 62 · sector 0
PAST 65 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $40.51 $35.63 -12%
adidas AG 1ADS €158.15 €65.71 -58%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $93.84 $125.16 +33%
On Holding ONON $30.91 $17.53 -43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥11.81 ¥13.03 +10%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $36.74 $44.59 +21%
Crocs, Inc CROX $130.61 $203.65 +56%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥36.73 ¥51.36 +40%
PUMA SE PUM €26.69 €10.57 -60%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$13.64 HK$4.04 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Safari Industries (India) Limited (SAFARI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹694.51 versus a price of ₹1,497, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAFARI?
Our model-based fair value for Safari Industries (India) Limited is ₹694.51 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,497.
What is the quality score of SAFARI?
Safari Industries (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Safari Industries (India) Limited (SAFARI)?
Safari Industries (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹20.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAFARI?
The net profit margin of Safari Industries (India) Limited is about 8.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Safari Industries (India) Limited pay a dividend?
Safari Industries (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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