Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range $17.61 – $34.00 · fair‑value band $2.87 – $5.43 · the $25.44 price screens above the $4.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. owns, develops, and operates a portfolio of entertainment and real estate assets primarily in New York City and Las Vegas. The company operates through three segments: Hospitality; Entertainment; and Landlord Operations.
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Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. owns, develops, and operates a portfolio of entertainment and real estate assets primarily in New York City and Las Vegas. The company operates through three segments: Hospitality; Entertainment; and Landlord Operations. The Hospitality segment operates fine dining and casual dining restaurants, cocktail bars, and nightlife and entertainment venues under The Fulton, Mister Dips, Carne Mare, Malibu Farm, Gitano, and The Lawn Club brands. The Entertainment segment includes the Las Vegas Aviators Triple-A Minor League Baseball team, the Las Vegas Ballpark, the Fashion Show Mall Air Rights, events, and concerts, as well as various sponsorship agreements across the Seaport and the Las Vegas Ballpark. The Landlord Operations segment engages in the holding of ownership interests in and operation of physical real estate assets, such as restaurant, retail, office, and entertainment properties, as well as residential units. Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) currently trades at $25.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.34, implying the stock looks roughly 486.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $2.87 (bear) to $5.43 (bull), the price of $25.44 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. reported revenue of $130M in FY2025 versus $82.6M in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$117M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $324M · P/S ratio 2.48 · EPS (TTM) $−11.05 · Net margin −89.5% · Return on equity −26.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −39.5% · Operating margin −349% · Revenue (TTM) $128M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −83%, SEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.87Fair Value $4.34Bull $5.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.12/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−91.9% (2021) → −82.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 539 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−99% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.48× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 66
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEG.US
Frequently asked questions
Is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.34 versus a price of $25.44, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEG?
Our model-based fair value for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is $4.34 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $25.44.
What is the quality score of SEG?
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.34 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.87, optimistic scenario $5.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.34, about −83% upside versus a price of $25.44 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.87, optimistic scenario $5.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $128M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. it is $4.34 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $25.44. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SEG trades above its calculated fair value: price $25.44, fair value $4.34, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($25.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.34). For Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. the two are $21.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. worth?
The market values Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. at about $324M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $25.44; our models calculate a fair value of $4.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEG?
Our models span a range for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.: cautious scenario $2.87, base $4.34, optimistic $5.43 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $25.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −26.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEG from its 52-week high?
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. trades at $25.44, about 10% below its 52-week high of $28.34 and 45% above the low of $17.57 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $25.44, calculated fair value $4.34 (−83%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEG calculated?
We run Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.87 to $5.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
The market capitalisation of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is $324M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is 2.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Earnings per share at Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. are $−11.05. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
The net margin of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is −89.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is −26.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is −39.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
The operating margin of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is −349% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)?
Revenue at Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is growing −27.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) generate?
The free cash flow of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is −$74.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carry?
The net debt of Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is $78.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026