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Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jul 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Jul 13, 2026
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A
SEQL3 · SAWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value R$0.0280 · Strongly overvalued (−60.0%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -34.1% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.0600 – R$5,820 · the R$0.0700 price screens above the R$0.0280 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
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Company profile
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A. provides logistics, warehouse, transportation, supply chain, and operation management services. Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) currently trades at R$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.0280, 60.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A reported revenue of R$593M in FY2025 versus R$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$202M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap R$446M (≈ $85.4M) · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) R$−184.23 · Net margin −34.1% · Return on equity −388% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.9% · Operating margin −11.0% · Revenue (TTM) R$593M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 99% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −60%, SEQL3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA
n/a
R$0.0100
R$0.0200
57
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
n/a
R$0.0100
R$0.0200
57
Notify me when SEQL3 reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Profitability
16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.4% (2020) → −15.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
SEQL3 screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Compare Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $93.44 | $107.34 | +15% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.74 | €137.08 | +146% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $289.65 | $349.54 | +21% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,199 | kr 711.95 | −41% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €24.49 | €14.24 | −42% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 224.50 | CHF 147.92 | −34% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $188.58 | $116.66 | −38% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥30.54 | ¥109.70 | +259% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $226.07 | $133.80 | −41% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $148.24 | $87.31 | −41% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$0.0280 versus a price of R$0.0700, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEQL3?
Our model-based fair value for Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is R$0.0280 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$0.0700.
What is the quality score of SEQL3?
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$0.0280 (as of Jul 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$0.0280, about −60% upside versus a price of R$0.0700 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$593M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A it is R$0.0280 per share (as of Jul 13, 2026), against a price of R$0.0700. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 13, 2026, SEQL3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$0.0700, fair value R$0.0280, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEQL3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$0.0700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$0.0280). For Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A the two are R$0.0420 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A worth?
The market values Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A at about R$446M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 13, 2026). Per share that is R$0.0700; our models calculate a fair value of R$0.0280 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (as of Jul 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEQL3 from its 52-week high?
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A trades at R$0.0700, about 99% below its 52-week high of R$10.80 and 17% above the low of R$0.0600 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$0.0280 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 13, 2026: price R$0.0700, calculated fair value R$0.0280 (−60%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEQL3 calculated?
We run Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$0.0280, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$0.0700. Our model-based fair value is R$0.0280, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The market capitalisation of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is R$446M (≈ $85.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Earnings per share at Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A are R$−184.23. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The net margin of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is −34.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is −388% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is −27.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
The operating margin of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is −11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Revenue at Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is growing −16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Earnings per share at Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A are growing +94.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) generate?
The free cash flow of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is −R$24.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) carry?
The net debt of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is R$304M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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