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Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BR · Market cap R$446M

SL Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A SEQL3 · SA
PriceR$0.0600
Fair ValueR$0.0280
Upside-53.3%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -34.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from R$0.0240 to R$0.0280 (+16.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$5,820 R$0.0600 Fair Value R$0.0280 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$0.0600 – R$5,820 · the R$0.0600 price screens above the R$0.0280 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) currently trades at R$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.0280, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A generated revenue of R$593M at a net margin of -34.1%. Revenue declined 33.5% year over year. Net debt stands at R$304M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -53%, SEQL3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM R$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.0100 R$0.0100 61
EV/EBITDA R$0.0100 R$0.0200 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.0100 R$0.0100 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA R$0.0100 R$0.0200 54

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (R$0.0100) versus Dividend Discount (R$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$593M
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.8%
Net margin -34.1%
Return on equity -388%
Free cash flow −R$24.6M FY2025
Operating margin -11.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R$-184.23
EPS growth (YoY) +94.9%
Net debt R$304M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A. provides logistics, warehouse, transportation, supply chain, and operation management services. Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A reported revenue of R$593M in FY2025 versus R$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$202M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$593M
Latest YoY
−22.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−31.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Revenue −21.0%/yr
FY21 R$1.5B
FY22 R$1.8B
FY23 R$745M
FY24 R$769M
FY25 R$593M
Net income
FY21 −R$17.9M
FY22 −R$107M
FY23 −R$822M
FY24 −R$1.1B
FY25 −R$202M

SEQL3 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEQL3

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$0.0280 versus a price of R$0.0600, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEQL3?
Our model-based fair value for Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is R$0.0280 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$0.0600.
What is the quality score of SEQL3?
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A (SEQL3)?
Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$593M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEQL3?
The net profit margin of Sequoia Logística e Transportes S.A is about -34.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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