Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA €5.94, price €7.70, upside -22.9%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.44 – €22.08 · fair‑value band €4.87 – €7.86 · the €7.70 price screens above the €5.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and sells luxury goods for men and women in Europe, North America, Japan, the Asia Pacific, and Central and South America.
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Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and sells luxury goods for men and women in Europe, North America, Japan, the Asia Pacific, and Central and South America. The company offers men's and women's footwear; leather goods comprising handbags, suitcases, belts, wallets, and other men's and women's leather accessories; made-to-order men's and ladies products; ready to wear products for men's and ladies, including knitwear, clothes for formal occasions and outwear, such as husky jackets, ponchos, and leather garments, as well as sportswear, and leisure wear. It also provides silk accessories, such as ties, foulards, scarves, shawls, gloves, and costume jeweler, as well as plaid throws, cushions, and beach towels; men's and ladies sunglasses and prescription glasses; watches; gold, diamond, gemstone, and silver jeweler; perfumes; and fragrances. In addition, the company is involved in the real estate management business. It sells its products under the Salvatore Ferragamo brand and distributes through Salvatore Ferragamo single-brand stores, department stores and multi-brand specialty stores, and the e-commerce channel. The company was formerly known as Salvatore Ferragamo Italia S.p.A. and changed its name to Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. in April 2011. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Florence, Italy. Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Ferragamo Finanziaria S.p.A.
Stock analysis
Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) currently trades at €7.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.94, implying the stock looks roughly 29.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €6.57 per share, and 4 of the 11 models we run sit above the €7.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.39, and 7 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €4.87 (bear) to €7.86 (bull), the price of €7.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Salvatore Ferragamo SpA reported revenue of €977M in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€49.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €1.6B · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) €−0.3000 · Net margin −5.1% · Return on equity −8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) €977M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −23%, SFER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €4.87Fair Value €5.94Bull €7.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.8% (2020) → −2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.1% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Salvatore Ferragamo SpA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
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Is Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.94 versus a price of €7.70, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SFER?
Our model-based fair value for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is €5.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.70.
What is the quality score of SFER?
Salvatore Ferragamo SpA has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.87, optimistic scenario €7.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Salvatore Ferragamo SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.94, about −23% upside versus a price of €7.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €4.87, optimistic scenario €7.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Salvatore Ferragamo SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €977M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Salvatore Ferragamo SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SFER use?
Our models discount Salvatore Ferragamo SpA at 12.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Salvatore Ferragamo SpA that is +14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (+14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.00 %: that much free cash flow Salvatore Ferragamo SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Salvatore Ferragamo SpA it is €5.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €7.70. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Salvatore Ferragamo SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SFER trades above its calculated fair value: price €7.70, fair value €5.94, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.94). For Salvatore Ferragamo SpA the two are €1.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Salvatore Ferragamo SpA worth?
The market values Salvatore Ferragamo SpA at about €1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €7.70; our models calculate a fair value of €5.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFER?
Our models span a range for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA: cautious scenario €4.87, base €5.94, optimistic €7.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €7.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SFER?
The PEG ratio of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is 0.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFER from its 52-week high?
Salvatore Ferragamo SpA trades at €7.70, about 30% below its 52-week high of €10.96 and 54% above the low of €5.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Salvatore Ferragamo SpA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Hermès International Société en commandite par actions, Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Kering SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Salvatore Ferragamo SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €7.70, calculated fair value €5.94 (−23%), Quality Score 52/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFER calculated?
We run Salvatore Ferragamo SpA through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Salvatore Ferragamo SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €7.70. Our model-based fair value is €5.94, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Salvatore Ferragamo SpA right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) come from?
Earnings per share at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA grew −9.0 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.5 %, EBIT margin −6.2 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The market capitalisation of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is €1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is 1.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Earnings per share at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA are €−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The net margin of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is −5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
The operating margin of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Revenue at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER)?
Earnings per share at Salvatore Ferragamo SpA are growing −74.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Salvatore Ferragamo SpA (SFER) carry?
The net debt of Salvatore Ferragamo SpA is €409M (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 6.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026