Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Silgo Retail Limited ₹31.46, price ₹70.17, upside -55.2%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹15.40 – ₹84.67 · fair‑value band ₹23.60 – ₹39.33 · the ₹70.17 price screens above the ₹31.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Silgo Retail Limited designs, manufactures, retails, trades, and wholesales silver jewelry and precious stone in India. Its product portfolio includes rings, earrings, bracelets, necklaces, jhumki, pendants, bangles, and hallmarked silver jewelry for weddings, festivals, parties, and daily wear applications. The company sells its products online.
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Silgo Retail Limited designs, manufactures, retails, trades, and wholesales silver jewelry and precious stone in India. Its product portfolio includes rings, earrings, bracelets, necklaces, jhumki, pendants, bangles, and hallmarked silver jewelry for weddings, festivals, parties, and daily wear applications. The company sells its products online. Silgo Retail Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Jaipur, India.
Stock analysis
Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO) currently trades at ₹70.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹31.46, 55.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹45.54 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹70.17 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹26.45, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹23.60 (bear) to ₹39.33 (bull), the price of ₹70.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Silgo Retail Limited reported revenue of ₹470M in FY2026 versus ₹348M in FY2022, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹57.0M in FY2026, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.0B (≈ $20.7M) · P/E ratio 28.0 · P/S ratio 3.39 · EPS (TTM) ₹2.51 · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 25.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −55%, SILGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹23.60Fair Value ₹31.46Bull ₹39.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.3% vs 23.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 19%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.0%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−55.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.8% · Below median
Return on assets4.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)25.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)4.24× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA22.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 48
PAST (return on equity)23· sector 55
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹31.46 versus a price of ₹70.17, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SILGO?
Our model-based fair value for Silgo Retail Limited is ₹31.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹70.17.
What is the quality score of SILGO?
Silgo Retail Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹31.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹23.60, optimistic scenario ₹39.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Silgo Retail Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹31.46, about −55% upside versus a price of ₹70.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹23.60, optimistic scenario ₹39.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Silgo Retail Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹470M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Silgo Retail Limited it is ₹31.46 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹70.17. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Silgo Retail Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SILGO trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹70.17, fair value ₹31.46, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SILGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹70.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹31.46). For Silgo Retail Limited the two are ₹38.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Silgo Retail Limited worth?
The market values Silgo Retail Limited at about ₹2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹70.17; our models calculate a fair value of ₹31.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SILGO?
Our models span a range for Silgo Retail Limited: cautious scenario ₹23.60, base ₹31.46, optimistic ₹39.33 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹70.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SILGO?
Silgo Retail Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹31.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 22.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Silgo Retail Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SILGO from its 52-week high?
Silgo Retail Limited trades at ₹70.17, about 17% below its 52-week high of ₹84.67 and 11% above the low of ₹63.01 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹31.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Silgo Retail Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Kering SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Silgo Retail Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹70.17, calculated fair value ₹31.46 (−55%), Quality Score 26/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SILGO calculated?
We run Silgo Retail Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹31.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Silgo Retail Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹70.17. Our model-based fair value is ₹31.46, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Silgo Retail Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹39.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Silgo Retail Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The market capitalisation of Silgo Retail Limited is ₹2.0B (≈ $20.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Silgo Retail Limited is 3.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Earnings per share at Silgo Retail Limited are ₹2.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The net margin of Silgo Retail Limited is 12.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Silgo Retail Limited is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Silgo Retail Limited is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
The operating margin of Silgo Retail Limited is 25.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Revenue at Silgo Retail Limited is growing −19.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO)?
Earnings per share at Silgo Retail Limited are growing −25.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO) generate?
The free cash flow of Silgo Retail Limited is −₹8.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Silgo Retail Limited (SILGO) carry?
The net debt of Silgo Retail Limited is ₹193M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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