SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what SIMPAR S.A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch SIMPAR S.A for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.0001 – R$31.31 · fair‑value band R$1.39 – R$7.25 · the R$7.59 price screens above the R$5.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
SIMPAR S.A. provides light vehicle rental, and fleet management and outsourcing services in Brazil.
Show more
SIMPAR S.A. provides light vehicle rental, and fleet management and outsourcing services in Brazil. The company provides road logistics; car rental and fleet management sector; rental of trucks, machinery, and equipment; Volkswagen/man truck and bus dealerships; and light and heavy vehicle fleets, including complete service management, customization, maintenance, and fleet operation with driver. It operates car and motorcycle retail business; manages and outsources fleets of light and heavy vehicle to the public sector, municipal passenger transport, and urban cleaning sectors; and offers financial solutions and services. SIMPAR S.A. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. SIMPAR S.A. is a subsidiary of JSP Holding S.A.
Stock analysis
SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3) currently trades at R$7.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$5.32, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of R$5.93 per share, and 6 of the 17 models we run sit above the R$7.59 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at R$1.42, and 11 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$1.39 (bear) to R$7.25 (bull), the price of R$7.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SIMPAR S.A reported revenue of R$43.5B in FY2025 versus R$13.9B in FY2021, a compound +33.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$39.5M in FY2025, compounding −53.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$4.4B (≈ $858M) · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) R$−0.1700 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8% · Operating margin 16.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −30%, SIMH3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$1.39Fair Value R$5.32Bull R$7.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.7%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−27.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−33% vs 1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 19%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 93 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIMPAR S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIMH3
Frequently asked questions
Is SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$5.32 versus a price of R$7.59, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIMH3?
Our model-based fair value for SIMPAR S.A is R$5.32 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$7.59.
What is the quality score of SIMH3?
SIMPAR S.A has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$5.32 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$1.39, optimistic scenario R$7.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIMPAR S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$5.32, about −30% upside versus a price of R$7.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$1.39, optimistic scenario R$7.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
SIMPAR S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$44.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does SIMPAR S.A pay a dividend?
SIMPAR S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIMPAR S.A it is R$5.32 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of R$7.59. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SIMPAR S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SIMH3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$7.59, fair value R$5.32, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIMH3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$7.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$5.32). For SIMPAR S.A the two are R$2.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIMPAR S.A worth?
The market values SIMPAR S.A at about R$4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is R$7.59; our models calculate a fair value of R$5.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIMH3?
Our models span a range for SIMPAR S.A: cautious scenario R$1.39, base R$5.32, optimistic R$7.25 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price R$7.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIMPAR S.A (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 10.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIMH3 from its 52-week high?
SIMPAR S.A trades at R$7.59, about 48% below its 52-week high of R$14.62 and 7,589,900% above the low of R$0.0001 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$5.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIMPAR S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIMPAR S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price R$7.59, calculated fair value R$5.32 (−30%), Quality Score 34/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIMH3 calculated?
We run SIMPAR S.A through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$5.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. SIMPAR S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with SIMPAR S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$7.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (R$1.39 to R$7.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of SIMPAR S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The market capitalisation of SIMPAR S.A is R$4.4B (≈ $858M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIMPAR S.A is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Earnings per share at SIMPAR S.A are R$−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The dividend yield of SIMPAR S.A is 4.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The net margin of SIMPAR S.A is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIMPAR S.A is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIMPAR S.A is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
The operating margin of SIMPAR S.A is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Revenue at SIMPAR S.A is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3)?
Earnings per share at SIMPAR S.A are growing +283% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3) generate?
The free cash flow of SIMPAR S.A is −R$1.9B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SIMPAR S.A (SIMH3) carry?
The net debt of SIMPAR S.A is R$57.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch SIMPAR S.A in the live analysis
One click puts SIMPAR S.A on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
