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Snowman Logistics Limited (SNOWMAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹6.4B

SL Snowman Logistics Limited SNOWMAN · NSE
Price₹38.63
Fair Value₹5.40
Upside-86.0%
Quality50/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.35% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ₹2.64 – ₹6.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹6.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹2.64 to ₹6.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹89.48 ₹23.07 Fair Value ₹5.40 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹23.07 – ₹89.48 · fair‑value band ₹2.64 – ₹6.32 · the ₹38.63 price screens above the ₹5.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Snowman Logistics Limited (SNOWMAN) currently trades at ₹38.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5.40, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Snowman Logistics Limited generated revenue of ₹6.0B at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at ₹3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹2.64 (bear case) to ₹6.32 (bull case); at ₹38.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -86%, SNOWMAN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹41.20 ₹78.04 ₹140.16 80
Residual Income ₹16.21 ₹15.15 ₹10.64 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹18.95 ₹32.42 ₹50.71 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹42.23 ₹83.56 ₹160.37 38
Owner Earnings ₹27.90 ₹57.39 ₹109.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹18.95 ₹32.31 ₹49.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹44.06 ₹86.53 ₹141.63 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹12.28 ₹17.90 ₹23.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹25.98 ₹41.75 ₹65.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹43.02 ₹81.64 ₹143.83 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹22.01 ₹31.15 ₹42.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1.34 ₹7.26 ₹10.06 54
Lynch FV ₹2.01 ₹2.87 ₹3.73 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹2.01 ₹2.87 ₹3.73 46
EPV ₹6.67 ₹8.47 ₹10.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹4.39 ₹8.75 ₹13.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹4.39 ₹7.56 ₹9.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹3.11 ₹4.15 ₹5.19 63
P/S Multiple ₹2.52 ₹3.36 ₹4.20 58
P/B Multiple ₹2.52 ₹3.36 ₹4.20 55
EV/EBIT ₹13.03 ₹18.96 ₹24.88 53
EV/EBITDA ₹48.29 ₹65.97 ₹83.65 54
EV/Revenue ₹7.95 ₹13.38 ₹18.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹12.03 ₹16.12 ₹24.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹41.20 ₹78.04 ₹140.16 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹18.95 ₹32.42 ₹50.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹16.21 ₹15.15 ₹10.64 76
ROIC Compounder ₹6.67 ₹8.47 ₹10.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.95 ₹4.21 ₹5.47 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹41.75) versus Earnings-Based (₹2.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹6.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow ₹602M FY2026
P/E ratio 193.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2000
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +50.4%
Net debt ₹3.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Snowman Logistics Limited provides temperature-controlled warehousing and distribution services in India. It operates through Warehousing Services, Transportation Services, and Trading and Distribution segments. The company offers warehousing solutions and services, including ambient, chilled, frozen, and blast freezing facilities.

Full company description

Snowman Logistics Limited provides temperature-controlled warehousing and distribution services in India. It operates through Warehousing Services, Transportation Services, and Trading and Distribution segments. The company offers warehousing solutions and services, including ambient, chilled, frozen, and blast freezing facilities. It also provides primary transportation services, such as door-to-door, customized milk run, and part cargo consolidation services; and secondary transportation services comprising last mile distribution supplying to QSRs, retail outlets, restaurants, and hotels. In addition, the company offers value added services, which include kitting, labelling, sorting, stuffing, and de-stuffing of containers, repacking, and bulk breaking; and sorts, grades, packs, and washes selected fruits and vegetables. Additionally, it engages in trading and distribution that includes sourcing, vendor development, inventory planning, procurement, and sales. It serves pharmaceuticals, meat and poultry, seafood fresh produce, ice cream, confectionery, dairy, quick service restaurants, ready-to-eat meals, processed foods, and industrial goods industries. The company was formerly known as Snowman Frozen Foods Limited and changed its name to Snowman Logistics Limited in March 2011. Snowman Logistics Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Snowman Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹6.0B in FY2026 versus ₹2.9B in FY2022, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹33.0M in FY2026, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹6.0B
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Revenue +20.6%/yr
FY22 ₹2.9B
FY23 ₹4.2B
FY24 ₹5.0B
FY25 ₹5.5B
FY26 ₹6.0B
Net income +18.5%/yr
FY22 ₹16.8M
FY23 ₹134M
FY24 ₹127M
FY25 ₹56.9M
FY26 ₹33.0M

SNOWMAN screens 86% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Snowman Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNOWMAN

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 193.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 41
FUTURE 20 · sector 8
PAST 3 · sector 26
HEALTH 88 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $103.91 $103.34 -1%
FedEx Corporation FDX $326.77 $347.68 +6%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.32 €53.18 -4%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,380 kr 712.57 -48%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $275.96 $133.80 -52%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$178.20 HK$224.41 +26%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 199,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +135%
YTO Express Group 600233 ¥18.48 ¥26.51 +43%
JD Logistics, Inc 2618 HK$14.17 HK$21.45 +51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Snowman Logistics Limited (SNOWMAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹5.40 versus a price of ₹38.63, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNOWMAN?
Our model-based fair value for Snowman Logistics Limited is ₹5.40 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹38.63.
What is the quality score of SNOWMAN?
Snowman Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Snowman Logistics Limited (SNOWMAN)?
Snowman Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNOWMAN?
The net profit margin of Snowman Logistics Limited is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Snowman Logistics Limited pay a dividend?
Snowman Logistics Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.35% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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