Santova Limited (SNV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ZA · Market cap 1.0B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R22.43 to R14.92 (−33.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 86% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R11.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R2.60 – R9.68 · fair‑value band R11.19 – R18.65 · the R8.00 price screens below the R14.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Santova Limited (SNV) currently trades at R8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R14.92, implying the stock looks roughly 86.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Santova Limited generated revenue of 1.2B ZAR at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 116.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 18.6M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R11.19 (bear case) to R18.65 (bull case); at R8.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 86%, SNV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R46.15) versus Dividend Discount (R2.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Santova Limited provides logistics services in Africa, the Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Logistics Services and Financial Services segments.
Full company description
Santova Limited provides logistics services in Africa, the Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Logistics Services and Financial Services segments. It provides international trade services, including supply chain engineering, logistics, global project management, client sourcing and procurement, express courier, and financial services; and development, implementation, analysis, management, and supply chain optimization services through cloud-based technologies and software packages. The company also offers business intelligence solutions that enables digital transformation through cloud-based technologies to unlock data for analysis or predictive analytics; insurance solutions; and value add services. Santova Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Durban, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Santova Limited reported revenue of R1.2B in FY2026 versus R633M in FY2022, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was R137M in FY2026, compounding −5.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +12.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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