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STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of STP&I Public Company Limited THB 5.18, price THB 5.55, upside -6.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TH · ISIN TH0566B10Z08

SI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

STP&I Public Company Limited

STPI · BK

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 5.18 THB · Fairly valued (−7%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +37.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 24 out of 100
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6.95 THB 2.28 THB Fair Value 5.18 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.28 THB – 6.95 THB · fair‑value band 5.18 THB – 6.24 THB · the 5.55 THB price screens above the 5.18 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

STP&I Public Company Limited engages in the fabrication of steel works, and manufacture and sale of boilers and pressure vessels in Thailand, Australia, the United States, Canada.

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STP&I Public Company Limited engages in the fabrication of steel works, and manufacture and sale of boilers and pressure vessels in Thailand, Australia, the United States, Canada. It offers steel structures for airports, exhibition halls, and high-rise buildings; industrial plants, such as factories, automobile plants, and steel mills; power plants, such as boiler structures, turbine buildings, and equipment support structures; petrochemical plants comprising refineries, and gas separation and aromatic plants; and bridges consisting of built-in cable anchor structural decks, main structures, decking for cable stay bridges, flyovers, and pipe bridges jetties. The company also provides piping pre-fabrication and erection services for various industrial plants, such as power plants, oil refineries, petrochemical plants, and offshore process plants, as well as produces offshore and onshore modules. In addition, it offers engineering services; fabrication services, such as cutting/rolling/drilling, assembly and welding, inspection, blasting and painting, and packing and delivery; and plant and process module construction, as well as construction support services. Further, the company manufactures, sells, and rents construction equipment; operates community automated gas station; produces and distributes electricity generated from waste products; and offers municipal solid waste management, property development, and logistics services, as well as rents land, office buildings, and warehouses. The company was formerly known as Sino-Thai Pressure Vessel & Iron Works and changed its name to STP&I Public Company Limited in 1995. STP&I Public Company Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) currently trades at 5.55 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.18 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 7.1% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.69 THB per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the 5.55 THB price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.82 THB, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5.18 THB (bear) to 6.24 THB (bull), the price of 5.55 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

STP&I Public Company Limited reported revenue of 3.5B THB in FY2025 versus 2.3B THB in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was 195M THB in FY2025, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 10.1B THB (≈ $302M) · P/E ratio 92.5 · P/S ratio 5.23 · EPS (TTM) 0.0600 THB · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −14.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −7%, STPI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.18 THB Fair Value 5.18 THB Bull 6.24 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0441 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 5.38 THB 9.21 THB 17.77 THB 74
Growth DCF 5.13 THB 9.60 THB 15.56 THB 74
Residual Income 3.07 THB 2.81 THB 1.94 THB 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.38 THB 9.21 THB 17.77 THB 74
Owner Earnings 3.54 THB 7.25 THB 13.27 THB 70
5Y Revenue Exit 2.46 THB 4.36 THB 6.85 THB 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.50 THB 6.70 THB 10.82 THB 71
5Y P/E Exit 2.20 THB 3.78 THB 5.55 THB 68
10Y Revenue Exit 3.48 THB 5.69 THB 8.89 THB 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 4.14 THB 7.23 THB 12.10 THB 64
10Y P/E Exit 3.38 THB 5.31 THB 8.00 THB 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.7300 THB 4.46 THB 6.22 THB 61
Lynch FV 1.28 THB 1.82 THB 2.37 THB 59
PEG = 1.0 1.28 THB 1.82 THB 2.37 THB 55
EPV 0.1400 THB 0.2800 THB 0.4000 THB 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.37 THB 1.83 THB 2.29 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.37 THB 1.83 THB 2.29 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.37 THB 1.83 THB 2.29 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.9400 THB 1.59 THB 2.25 THB 64
EV/EBITDA 2.61 THB 3.82 THB 5.02 THB 67
EV/Revenue 0.6800 THB 1.41 THB 2.14 THB 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.41 THB 3.23 THB 4.83 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 5.13 THB 9.60 THB 15.56 THB 74
Rev-Margin DCF 2.46 THB 4.38 THB 7.09 THB 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.07 THB 2.81 THB 1.94 THB 74
ROIC Compounder 0.1400 THB 0.2800 THB 0.4000 THB 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.68 THB 2.40 THB 3.12 THB 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−32.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32% vs −24%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 92.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.11× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 26.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €171.10 €109.36 −36%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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STP&I Public Company Limited · Fair Value
5.18 THB −7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STP&I Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STPI

Frequently asked questions

Is STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.18 THB versus a price of 5.55 THB, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of STPI?
Our model-based fair value for STP&I Public Company Limited is 5.18 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.55 THB.
What is the quality score of STPI?
STP&I Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.18 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.18 THB, optimistic scenario 6.24 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the STP&I Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.18 THB, about −7% upside versus a price of 5.55 THB (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 5.18 THB, optimistic scenario 6.24 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
STP&I Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, STP&I Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of STPI use?
Our models discount STP&I Public Company Limited at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For STP&I Public Company Limited that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at STP&I Public Company Limited grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into STP&I Public Company Limited (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.35 %: that much free cash flow STP&I Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STP&I Public Company Limited it is 5.18 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.55 THB. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is STP&I Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, STPI trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.55 THB, fair value 5.18 THB, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STPI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.55 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.18 THB). For STP&I Public Company Limited the two are 0.3700 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is STP&I Public Company Limited worth?
The market values STP&I Public Company Limited at about 10.1B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.55 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 5.18 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STPI?
Our models span a range for STP&I Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 5.18 THB, base 5.18 THB, optimistic 6.24 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.55 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STPI?
STP&I Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 92.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.18 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 26.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Balance-sheet figures for STP&I Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STPI from its 52-week high?
STP&I Public Company Limited trades at 5.55 THB, about 20% below its 52-week high of 6.95 THB and 54% above the low of 3.60 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.18 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to STP&I Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is STP&I Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.55 THB, calculated fair value 5.18 THB (−7%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STPI calculated?
We run STP&I Public Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.18 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. STP&I Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 5.55 THB. Our model-based fair value is 5.18 THB, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with STP&I Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) come from?
Earnings per share at STP&I Public Company Limited grew −25.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −13.5 %, EBIT margin −12.3 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of STP&I Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The market capitalisation of STP&I Public Company Limited is 10.1B THB (≈ $302M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of STP&I Public Company Limited is 5.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Earnings per share at STP&I Public Company Limited are 0.0600 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 92.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The net margin of STP&I Public Company Limited is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of STP&I Public Company Limited is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STP&I Public Company Limited is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
The operating margin of STP&I Public Company Limited is −14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Revenue at STP&I Public Company Limited is growing −21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI)?
Earnings per share at STP&I Public Company Limited are growing −80.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does STP&I Public Company Limited (STPI) carry?
The net debt of STP&I Public Company Limited is 3.3B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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