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Tanachira Retail Corporation (TAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 1.2B THB

TR Tanachira Retail Corporation TAN · BK
Price3.84 THB
Fair Value3.51 THB
Upside-8.6%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.78% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 2.46 THB – 3.86 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 5.65 THB to 3.51 THB (−37.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 2.46 THB (bear) to 3.86 THB (bull), base 3.51 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

15.39 THB 3.19 THB Fair Value 3.51 THB Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range 3.19 THB – 15.39 THB · fair‑value band 2.46 THB – 3.86 THB · the 3.84 THB price screens above the 3.51 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Tanachira Retail Corporation (TAN) currently trades at 3.84 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.51 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tanachira Retail Corporation generated revenue of 1.9B THB at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 338M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.46 THB (bear case) to 3.86 THB (bull case); at 3.84 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -9%, TAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4.25 THB 7.48 THB 11.92 THB 80
Residual Income 3.56 THB 3.37 THB 2.61 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 3.93 THB 6.92 THB 11.06 THB 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 11.76 THB 21.57 THB 38.03 THB 31
5Y P/E Exit 2.55 THB 3.99 THB 5.64 THB 38
10Y P/E Exit 3.18 THB 4.74 THB 6.97 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.05 THB 6.01 THB 8.36 THB 54
Lynch FV 1.69 THB 2.42 THB 3.14 THB 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.51 THB 2.01 THB 2.51 THB 63
P/B Multiple 1.97 THB 2.62 THB 3.28 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.62 THB 3.51 THB 5.24 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.25 THB 7.48 THB 11.92 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.93 THB 6.92 THB 11.06 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.56 THB 3.37 THB 2.61 THB 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (6.92 THB) versus Multiples (2.01 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow 110M THB FY2026
P/E ratio 26.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.1500 THB
Dividend yield 6.8%
Net debt 338M THB FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tanachira Retail Corporation Public Company Limited operates as a fashion lifestyle retailer in Thailand, China, Vietnam, Japan, Hongkong, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, Norway, and internationally. The company engages in the distribution of gemstone jewelry, leather goods, bags, shoes, furniture, and home decorations.

Full company description

Tanachira Retail Corporation Public Company Limited operates as a fashion lifestyle retailer in Thailand, China, Vietnam, Japan, Hongkong, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, Norway, and internationally. The company engages in the distribution of gemstone jewelry, leather goods, bags, shoes, furniture, and home decorations. It is also involved in the general wholesale; retail sale in other non-specialised stores; wholesale and online distribution of body care, skin care, and home ambience products; spa, restaurant, and beverages businesses; and investment business. In addition, it imports and distributes incense and skin care products, as well as imports, exports, and distributes clothes, bags, and miscellaneous goods. The company offers its products under the Cath Kidston, GANNI, Gordon Ramsay Bread Street Kitchen & Bar, HARNN, Harnn Wellness and Hospitality, MM6 Maison Margiela, Marimekko, PANDORA, Street Pizza, Street Burger, LIVE!, UNITED ARROWS, and Vuudh brands. Tanachira Retail Corporation Public Company Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tanachira Retail Corporation reported revenue of 1.9B THB in FY2026 versus 766M THB in FY2022, a compound +24.9%/yr. Reported net income was 46.2M THB in FY2026.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
1.9B THB
Latest YoY
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Revenue +24.9%/yr
FY22 766M THB
FY23 1.3B THB
FY24 1.4B THB
FY25 1.7B THB
FY26 1.9B THB
Net income
FY22 −32.3M THB
FY23 125M THB
FY24 167M THB
FY25 130M THB
FY26 46.2M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tanachira Retail Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAN

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 15
FUTURE 23 · sector 50
PAST 10 · sector 38
HEALTH 98 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 39

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tanachira Retail Corporation (TAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.51 THB versus a price of 3.84 THB, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TAN?
Our model-based fair value for Tanachira Retail Corporation is 3.51 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3.84 THB.
What is the quality score of TAN?
Tanachira Retail Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tanachira Retail Corporation (TAN)?
Tanachira Retail Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TAN?
The net profit margin of Tanachira Retail Corporation is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tanachira Retail Corporation pay a dividend?
Tanachira Retail Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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