Technos S.A (TECN3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$605M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from R$11.08 to R$11.20 (+1.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (R$7.55 to R$25.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$1.56 – R$10.13 · fair‑value band R$7.55 – R$25.42 · the R$9.22 price screens below the R$11.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Technos S.A (TECN3) currently trades at R$9.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$11.20, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Technos S.A generated revenue of R$483M at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at R$9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$7.55 (bear case) to R$25.42 (bull case); at R$9.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 21%, TECN3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$22.21) versus Dividend Discount (R$2.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Technos S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and wholesale distribution of wristwatches. It also offers technical assistance services for watches. The company sells watches through retail stores, as well as websites under the Technos, Mormaii, Michael Kors, Dumont, Touch, Allora, Fossil, Euro, Mariner, and Condor brands.
Full company description
Technos S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and wholesale distribution of wristwatches. It also offers technical assistance services for watches. The company sells watches through retail stores, as well as websites under the Technos, Mormaii, Michael Kors, Dumont, Touch, Allora, Fossil, Euro, Mariner, and Condor brands. The company was formerly known as GMT Participações SA and changed its name to Technos S.A. in 2011. Technos S.A. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Technos S.A reported revenue of R$478M in FY2025 versus R$314M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$71.5M in FY2025, compounding +26.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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