Tredegar Corporation (TG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $280M
Tredegar Corporation
TG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +21.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.76 to $13.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.01 – $14.44 · fair‑value band $5.76 – $13.97 · the $8.89 price screens above the $7.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Tredegar Corporation (TG) currently trades at $8.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.13, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tredegar Corporation generated revenue of $745M at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at $41.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.76 (bear case) to $13.97 (bull case); at $8.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -20%, TG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.41) versus Growth DCF ($3.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tredegar Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, and polyethylene and polypropylene plastic films in the United States and internationally. It operates through Aluminum Extrusions and High performance films segments.
Full company description
Tredegar Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells aluminum extrusions, and polyethylene and polypropylene plastic films in the United States and internationally. It operates through Aluminum Extrusions and High performance films segments. The Aluminum Extrusions segment produces soft and medium strength alloyed, custom fabricated, and finished aluminum extrusions for the building and construction, automotive and transportation, consumer durable goods, machinery and equipment, electrical and renewable energy, and distribution markets; and manufactures mill, machined, anodized and painted and thermally improved aluminum extrusions to fabricators and distributors. This segment also manufactures and sells products, such as flooring trims under the Futura Transitions brand name; and structural aluminum framing systems under the TSLOTS brand name. The High performance films segment produces surface protection films used for protecting components of flat panel and flexible displays that are used in televisions, monitors, notebooks, smart phones, tablets, e-readers, electronic shelf labels, and automobiles under the UltraMask, ForceField, ForceField PEARL, Pearl A, and Obsidian brands. This segment provides adcanved packaging films for bathroom tissue and paper towels and films for other markets. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tredegar Corporation reported revenue of $723M in FY2025 versus $826M in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $33.5M in FY2025, compounding −12.8%/yr from FY2021.
TG screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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