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Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (THANGAMAYL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹196B

TJ Thangamayil Jewellery Limited THANGAMAYL · NSE
Price₹5,337
Fair Value₹2,065
Upside-61.3%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.30% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1,506 – ₹4,559 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −17.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4,559). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹1,506 to ₹4,559). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹7,310 ₹289.02 Fair Value ₹2,065 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹289.02 – ₹7,310 · fair‑value band ₹1,506 – ₹4,559 · the ₹5,337 price screens above the ₹2,065 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (THANGAMAYL) currently trades at ₹5,337, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,065, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Thangamayil Jewellery Limited generated revenue of ₹85.0B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 105.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.9%. Net debt stands at ₹5.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1,506 (bear case) to ₹4,559 (bull case); at ₹5,337, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 205% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -61%, THANGAMAYL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹1,372 ₹2,460 ₹4,661 80
Residual Income ₹804.66 ₹1,160 ₹8,747 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,714 ₹3,553 ₹6,473 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,452 ₹2,223 ₹4,681 38
Owner Earnings ₹1,712 ₹3,761 ₹8,062 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,714 ₹3,122 ₹6,005 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,704 ₹3,101 ₹5,772 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,844 ₹4,028 ₹6,966 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,577 ₹3,594 ₹5,351 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,639 ₹3,574 ₹7,232 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,740 ₹3,861 ₹7,651 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹769.33 ₹5,365 ₹7,529 54
Lynch FV ₹1,839 ₹2,627 ₹3,415 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,839 ₹2,627 ₹3,415 46
EPV ₹1,398 ₹1,614 ₹1,802 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹114.77 ₹238.62 ₹378.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹114.77 ₹201.21 ₹250.44 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,867 ₹2,489 ₹3,111 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,442 ₹1,923 ₹2,404 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,367 ₹1,822 ₹2,278 55
EV/EBIT ₹2,447 ₹3,227 ₹4,007 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,783 ₹2,342 ₹2,901 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,684 ₹2,360 ₹3,036 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹227.78 ₹305.23 ₹455.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,372 ₹2,460 ₹4,661 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,714 ₹3,553 ₹6,473 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹804.66 ₹1,160 ₹8,747 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,694 ₹2,350 ₹3,234 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2,455 ₹3,507 ₹4,559 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹3,574) versus Dividend Discount (₹201.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹85.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +106%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 27.9%
Free cash flow ₹2.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 47.2
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) ₹112.96
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +351%
Net debt ₹5.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited operates a chain of retail jewelry stores in India. The company offers gold, diamond, silver, precious stones, and platinum jewelries, as well as silver articles and gold coins. It also involved in the manufacture and sale of jewelry, and other accessories and products. In addition, the company offers gold saving schemes.

Full company description

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited operates a chain of retail jewelry stores in India. The company offers gold, diamond, silver, precious stones, and platinum jewelries, as well as silver articles and gold coins. It also involved in the manufacture and sale of jewelry, and other accessories and products. In addition, the company offers gold saving schemes. It provides its products through online. Thangamayil Jewellery Limited was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Madurai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Thangamayil Jewellery Limited reported revenue of ₹85.0B in FY2026 versus ₹21.9B in FY2022, a compound +40.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2026, compounding +73.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹85.0B
Latest YoY
+73.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Revenue +40.3%/yr
FY22 ₹21.9B
FY23 ₹31.5B
FY24 ₹38.3B
FY25 ₹49.1B
FY26 ₹85.0B
Net income +73.8%/yr
FY22 ₹386M
FY23 ₹797M
FY24 ₹1.2B
FY25 ₹1.2B
FY26 ₹3.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +37.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.6 pp

of which total revenue +19.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin +11.9 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

THANGAMAYL screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thangamayil Jewellery Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THANGAMAYL

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 137 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 106% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 13.86× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 34.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 35
PAST 100 · sector 40
HEALTH 98 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 193.70 CHF 119.08 -39%
Christian Dior SE DIO €423.60 €1,095 +159%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 771.40 kr 1,424 +85%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹596.70 ₹238.57 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (THANGAMAYL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2,065 versus a price of ₹5,337, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of THANGAMAYL?
Our model-based fair value for Thangamayil Jewellery Limited is ₹2,065 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹5,337.
What is the quality score of THANGAMAYL?
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (THANGAMAYL)?
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹85.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THANGAMAYL?
The net profit margin of Thangamayil Jewellery Limited is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thangamayil Jewellery Limited pay a dividend?
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.30% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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