Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Crimson Tide plc £0.95, price £0.98, upside -2.6%, quality 78 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.4850 – £3.25 · fair‑value band £0.7600 – £1.21 · the £0.9750 price screens above the £0.9500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Crimson Tide plc provides mobility solutions and related software development services in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Ireland. The company offers mpro5, a field service management software and platform service that provides automated scheduling and real-time alerts.
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It also provides non-core software solutions, including reselling third-party software and related development and support services. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Tunbridge Wells, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) currently trades at £0.9750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.9500, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £2.55 per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the £0.9750 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.5200, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £0.7600 (bear) to £1.21 (bull), the price of £0.9750 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Crimson Tide plc reported revenue of £5.9M in FY2026 versus £4.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was £277K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 6.5M GBX · P/E ratio 24.4 · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) £0.0400 · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Operating margin −6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −3%, TIDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.7600Fair Value £0.9500Bull£1.21
Price £0.9750 · Upside -2.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.2% a year
Revenue growth 41 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+92.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+92.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.92.2% vs 51.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−14% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −27.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 658 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−2.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.1% · Above median
Return on assets4.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)4.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−6.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
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Is Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.9500 versus a price of £0.9750, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TIDE?
Our model-based fair value for Crimson Tide plc is £0.9500 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.9750.
What is the quality score of TIDE?
Crimson Tide plc has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.9500 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.7600, optimistic scenario £1.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Crimson Tide plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.9500, about −3% upside versus a price of £0.9750 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.7600, optimistic scenario £1.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Crimson Tide plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £5.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Crimson Tide plc would have to grow free cash flow by -26.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TIDE use?
Our models discount Crimson Tide plc at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Crimson Tide plc that is -26.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Crimson Tide plc grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies -26.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Crimson Tide plc (-26.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.94 %: that much free cash flow Crimson Tide plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Crimson Tide plc it is £0.9500 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of £0.9750. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Crimson Tide plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TIDE trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.9750, fair value £0.9500, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.9750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.9500). For Crimson Tide plc the two are £0.0250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Crimson Tide plc worth?
The market values Crimson Tide plc at about 6.5M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is £0.9750; our models calculate a fair value of £0.9500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIDE?
Our models span a range for Crimson Tide plc: cautious scenario £0.7600, base £0.9500, optimistic £1.21 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price £0.9750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TIDE?
Crimson Tide plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.9500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 17.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Crimson Tide plc (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 5.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIDE from its 52-week high?
Crimson Tide plc trades at £0.9750, about 7% below its 52-week high of £1.05 and 77% above the low of £0.5500 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.9500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Crimson Tide plc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Crimson Tide plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price £0.9750, calculated fair value £0.9500 (−3%), Quality Score 78/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIDE calculated?
We run Crimson Tide plc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.9500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Crimson Tide plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was £0.9750. Our model-based fair value is £0.9500, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Crimson Tide plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Crimson Tide plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The market capitalisation of Crimson Tide plc is 6.5M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Crimson Tide plc is 1.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Earnings per share at Crimson Tide plc are £0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The net margin of Crimson Tide plc is 4.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Crimson Tide plc is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Crimson Tide plc is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
The operating margin of Crimson Tide plc is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Revenue at Crimson Tide plc is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Earnings per share at Crimson Tide plc are growing −10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) hold?
Crimson Tide plc holds more cash than debt, £1.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 3, 2026