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Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · GB · Market cap 5.9M GBX · ISIN GB0002080082

What is Crimson Tide plc really worth?

CT Crimson Tide plc TIDE · LSE
Price£0.9000
Fair Value£0.5900
Upside−34.4%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 53% above our fair value of £0.5900.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -27.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range £0.5000 – £0.6800

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.6800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£3.65 £0.4850 Fair Value £0.5900 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.4850 – £3.65 · fair‑value band £0.5000 – £0.6800 · the £0.9000 price screens above the £0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) currently trades at £0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crimson Tide plc generated revenue of £6.0M at a net margin of −27.0%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £1.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.5000 (bear case) to £0.6800 (bull case); at £0.9000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −34%, TIDE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence £0.5800 £0.6700 £0.7600 67
NCAV (Graham) £0.4900 £0.6600 £0.9900 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA best evidence £0.5800 £0.6700 £0.7600 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.4900 £0.6600 £0.9900 54

Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.6700) versus Asset-Based (£0.6600). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.13 TTM
EPS (TTM) £−0.1600
Net margin −17.1% FY2024
Return on equity −1.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% avg 5y
Operating margin −6.1% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) £6.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3% 3y avg +13.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −10.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −978K GBX FY2024
Net cash 1.6M GBX FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Crimson Tide plc provides mobility solutions and related software development services in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Ireland. The company offers mpro5, a field service management software and platform service that provides automated scheduling and real-time alerts.

Full company description

Crimson Tide plc provides mobility solutions and related software development services in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Ireland. The company offers mpro5, a field service management software and platform service that provides automated scheduling and real-time alerts. It also provides non-core software solutions, including reselling third-party software and related development and support services. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Tunbridge Wells, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Crimson Tide plc reported revenue of £6.0M in FY2024 versus £3.5M in FY2020, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.0M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
£6.0M
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +13.9%/yr
FY20 £3.5M
FY21 £4.1M
FY22 £5.4M
FY23 £6.2M
FY24 £6.0M
Net income
FY20 £734K
FY21 −£607K
FY22 −£1.1M
FY23 −£305K
FY24 −£1.0M

TIDE screens 53% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crimson Tide plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIDE

Peer Group

Software - Application · 721 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on assets −3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.34× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE17 · sector 38
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 −1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 −38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crimson Tide plc (TIDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.5900 versus a price of £0.9000, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIDE?
Our model-based fair value for Crimson Tide plc is £0.5900 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.9000.
What is the quality score of TIDE?
Crimson Tide plc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Crimson Tide plc (TIDE)?
Crimson Tide plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £6.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TIDE?
The net profit margin of Crimson Tide plc is about −27.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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