TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ ₹300, price ₹731, upside -58.9%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹30.50 – ₹732.20 · fair‑value band ₹196.74 – ₹483.96 · the ₹730.70 price screens above the ₹300.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Timex Group India Limited engages in the designing, manufacturing, and trading of watches in India and internationally.
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Timex Group India Limited engages in the designing, manufacturing, and trading of watches in India and internationally. It offers wrist watches for men, women, and children under the Timex, Guess, Gc, Versace, Salvatore Ferragamo, Nautica, Ted Baker, Furla, Adidas Originals, Philipp Plein, Plein Sports, UCB, TMX, Furla, Wrogn, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, Peter England, and Helix brand names. The company also provides after sales services. It sells its products through various sales channels, such as distributors, dealers, franchisee operated exclusive brand outlets, modern trade - chain stores, defence, institutional, e-commerce, brand webstore, etc. The company was founded in 1854 and is based in Noida, India. Timex Group India Limited is a subsidiary of Timex Group Luxury Watches B.V.
Stock analysis
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) currently trades at ₹730.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹300.34, 58.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹259.94 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹730.70 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹62.62, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹196.74 (bear) to ₹483.96 (bull), the price of ₹730.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹8.0B in FY2025 versus ₹2.6B in FY2021, a compound +31.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹754M in FY2025, compounding +120.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹73.8B (≈ $766M) · P/E ratio 87.0 · P/S ratio 8.22 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.40 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 77.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 198% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −59%, TIMEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹7.39 to ₹354.39). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹196.74Fair Value ₹300.34Bull ₹483.96
Price ₹730.70 · Upside -58.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.37 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+48.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +88.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+87.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 14%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 140% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.7% a year for the price.
Compare TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 120 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−58.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)77.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets23.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)87.0× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)8.69× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF82.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA59.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 53
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 57
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIMEX
Frequently asked questions
Is TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹300.34 versus a price of ₹730.70, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIMEX?
Our model-based fair value for TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is ₹300.34 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹730.70.
What is the quality score of TIMEX?
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹300.34 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹196.74, optimistic scenario ₹483.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹300.34, about −59% upside versus a price of ₹730.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹196.74, optimistic scenario ₹483.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ pay a dividend?
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ would have to grow free cash flow by +47.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +41.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TIMEX use?
Our models discount TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ at 13.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.81, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ that is +47.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ grew +41.5 % a year. The price currently implies +47.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (+47.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.21 %: that much free cash flow TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ it is ₹300.34 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹730.70. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TIMEX trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹730.70, fair value ₹300.34, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIMEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹730.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹300.34). For TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ the two are ₹430.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ worth?
The market values TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ at about ₹73.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹730.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹300.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIMEX?
Our models span a range for TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹196.74, base ₹300.34, optimistic ₹483.96 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹730.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TIMEX?
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 87.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹300.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 8.7, EV/EBITDA 59.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 77.3%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIMEX from its 52-week high?
TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ trades at ₹730.70, at its 52-week high of ₹732.20 and 198% above the low of ₹245.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹300.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹730.70, calculated fair value ₹300.34 (−59%), Quality Score 75/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIMEX calculated?
We run TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹300.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹730.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹300.34, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ right now?
A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹483.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (₹196.74 to ₹483.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$
How large is the market capitalisation of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The market capitalisation of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is ₹73.8B (≈ $766M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 8.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Earnings per share at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ are ₹8.40 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 87.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The dividend yield of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 0.3% (payout 27.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The net margin of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 77.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 17.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
The operating margin of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Revenue at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is growing +29.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX)?
Earnings per share at TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ are growing +83.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ (TIMEX) carry?
The net debt of TIMEX GROUP INDIA LTD.-$ is ₹339M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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