PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, (TNCA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 57.3B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 49.54 IDR to 99.08 IDR (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +22.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (123.80 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 112.00 IDR – 2,730 IDR · fair‑value band 74.36 IDR – 123.80 IDR · the 165.00 IDR price screens above the 99.08 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, (TNCA) currently trades at 165.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 99.08 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, generated revenue of 74.0B IDR at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 38.3M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 74.36 IDR (bear case) to 123.80 IDR (bull case); at 165.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -40%, TNCA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (67.99 IDR) versus Multiples (16.43 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, together with its subsidiary, PT GED Lintas Indonesia, engages in the postal, courier, and logistics businesses in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, together with its subsidiary, PT GED Lintas Indonesia, engages in the postal, courier, and logistics businesses in Indonesia. The company offers GED courier services, which provide shipping through land, sea, and air deliveries; warehouse and fulfillment services; charter/trucking services, which include distribution supported by fleet management systems and real-time GPS monitoring systems; mover services, comprising cargo relocation solutions for homes, offices, and warehouses; and hand-carry delivery solutions. It also provides mailing room services; dedicated courier services; GED international shipping services that consist of air and sea transportation; GED special handling services for delivering dangerous goods, medical shipments, and valuable goods; and cold storage and reefer services for temperature-sensitive products, including pharmaceuticals, frozen food, and vaccines. In addition, the company provides postal services, including written communication, email, parcel delivery, and financial transactions. It provides delivery services under the Garuda Express Delivery (GED) brand. PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Trimuda Nuansa Citra Tbk, reported revenue of 73.8B IDR in FY2025 versus 76.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −915M IDR in FY2025.
TNCA screens 40% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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