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TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company (TOA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 29.7B THB

TP TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company TOA · BK
Price16.20 THB
Fair Value19.16 THB
Upside+18.3%
Quality83/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.81% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range 14.57 THB – 23.74 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 24.49 THB to 19.16 THB (−21.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.2% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 14.57 THB (bear) to 23.74 THB (bull), base 19.16 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 83/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

32.40 THB 8.79 THB Fair Value 19.16 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.79 THB – 32.40 THB · fair‑value band 14.57 THB – 23.74 THB · the 16.20 THB price screens below the 19.16 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company (TOA) currently trades at 16.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.16 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company generated revenue of 21.8B THB at a net margin of 14.4%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.57 THB (bear case) to 23.74 THB (bull case); at 16.20 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 18%, TOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 20.37 THB 27.27 THB 36.55 THB 80
Residual Income 9.74 THB 12.71 THB 46.54 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 15.37 THB 21.30 THB 27.56 THB 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 19.78 THB 27.06 THB 37.23 THB 38
Owner Earnings 17.81 THB 24.29 THB 33.33 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 15.37 THB 21.01 THB 27.80 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 18.16 THB 25.89 THB 34.35 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 19.03 THB 27.41 THB 35.58 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 16.55 THB 21.83 THB 28.04 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 18.61 THB 25.10 THB 32.73 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 19.15 THB 26.12 THB 33.62 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 10.23 THB 21.30 THB 26.94 THB 54
EPV 17.17 THB 19.71 THB 21.94 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.04 THB 7.53 THB 10.16 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.04 THB 7.18 THB 9.63 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19.19 THB 25.58 THB 31.98 THB 63
P/S Multiple 12.53 THB 16.70 THB 20.88 THB 58
P/B Multiple 16.83 THB 22.44 THB 28.05 THB 55
EV/EBIT 22.51 THB 29.38 THB 36.26 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 19.49 THB 25.36 THB 31.23 THB 54
EV/Revenue 13.58 THB 18.60 THB 23.61 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.74 THB 5.01 THB 7.48 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 20.37 THB 27.27 THB 36.55 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 15.37 THB 21.30 THB 27.56 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.74 THB 12.71 THB 46.54 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 17.63 THB 20.86 THB 24.13 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 14.23 THB 20.33 THB 26.42 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (25.10 THB) versus Asset-Based (5.01 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 21.8B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 14.4%
Return on equity 20.7%
Free cash flow 3.3B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 20.1%
EPS (TTM) 1.62 THB
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.2%
Net cash 2.0B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes paints and chemicals in Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Malaysia.

Full company description

TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes paints and chemicals in Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Malaysia. It offers construction chemicals, special paints, gypsum, hardware and power tools, and tile products, as well as decorative, metal, wood, and heavy-duty coatings. The company also provides painting services and calibration services for general laboratory instruments and specialized instruments for paint testing. In addition, it manufactures and distributes skim coat products. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Bang Sao Thong, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company reported revenue of 21.6B THB in FY2025 versus 17.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
21.6B THB
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+2.3%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 17.6B THB
FY22 20.6B THB
FY23 22.2B THB
FY24 21.1B THB
FY25 21.6B THB
Net income +10.5%/yr
FY21 2.0B THB
FY22 1.4B THB
FY23 2.6B THB
FY24 1.9B THB
FY25 2.9B THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOA

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.36× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 0
FUTURE 19 · sector 19
PAST 83 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 96 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company (TOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.16 THB versus a price of 16.20 THB, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TOA?
Our model-based fair value for TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company is 19.16 THB (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.20 THB.
What is the quality score of TOA?
TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company (TOA)?
TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOA?
The net profit margin of TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company is about 14.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company pay a dividend?
TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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