PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk (TOSK) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · ID · Market cap 293B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +13.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (35.75 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range 49.16 IDR – 159.26 IDR · fair‑value band 26.67 IDR – 35.75 IDR · the 69.00 IDR price screens above the 27.50 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk (TOSK) currently trades at 69.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk generated revenue of 1.7T IDR at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 11.7B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 26.67 IDR (bear case) to 35.75 IDR (bull case); at 69.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -60%, TOSK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (31.27 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (4.94 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk engages in the sale of digital products in Indonesia. It operates in three segments: Digital Product, Fast Moving Consumer Products, and Ballroom and Hotel. The company offers digital products, such as credit top-ups, data packages, PLN tokens, payment point online bank, and e-money.
Full company description
PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk engages in the sale of digital products in Indonesia. It operates in three segments: Digital Product, Fast Moving Consumer Products, and Ballroom and Hotel. The company offers digital products, such as credit top-ups, data packages, PLN tokens, payment point online bank, and e-money. In addition, the company engages in payment solution services; and online-to-offline platform, as well as ballroom and hotel. PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk is headquartered in Singkawang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Topindo Solusi Komunika Tbk reported revenue of 1.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding −18.8%/yr from FY2021.
TOSK screens 60% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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