TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of TechPrecision Corporation $1.22, price $5.29, upside -76.9%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.14 – $10.40 · fair‑value band $0.6600 – $1.77 · the $5.29 price screens above the $1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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TechPrecision Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells precision, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and systems in the United States. It operates through two segments, Ranor and Stadco. The company offers custom components for U.S.
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TechPrecision Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells precision, fabricated, and machined metal structural components and systems in the United States. It operates through two segments, Ranor and Stadco. The company offers custom components for U.S. Navy submarines and aircraft carriers, USMC military helicopters, defense, and aerospace programs. It also provides custom solutions, such as manufacturing engineering, materials management and traceability, fabrication, precision machining, and QC inspection services. It serves the defense, aerospace, and precision industrial markets. TechPrecision Corporation is headquartered in Westminster, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
TechPrecision Corporation Common stock (TPCS) currently trades at $5.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 333.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.6600 (bear) to $1.77 (bull), the price of $5.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
TechPrecision Corporation Common stock reported revenue of $31.6M in FY2026 versus $22.3M in FY2022, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $53.4M · P/S ratio 1.64 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1300 · Net margin −5.3% · Return on equity −15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −0.5% · Revenue (TTM) $33.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −77%, TPCS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6600Fair Value $1.22Bull $1.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2021) → −3.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (12 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare TechPrecision Corporation Common stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/B6.96× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.60× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA37.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TechPrecision Corporation Common stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPCS
Frequently asked questions
Is TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.22 versus a price of $5.29, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPCS?
Our model-based fair value for TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is $1.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.29.
What is the quality score of TPCS?
TechPrecision Corporation Common stock has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6600, optimistic scenario $1.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TechPrecision Corporation Common stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.22, about −77% upside versus a price of $5.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6600, optimistic scenario $1.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
TechPrecision Corporation Common stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TechPrecision Corporation Common stock it is $1.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.29. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TechPrecision Corporation Common stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TPCS trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.29, fair value $1.22, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TPCS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.22). For TechPrecision Corporation Common stock the two are $4.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TechPrecision Corporation Common stock worth?
The market values TechPrecision Corporation Common stock at about $53.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.29; our models calculate a fair value of $1.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TPCS?
Our models span a range for TechPrecision Corporation Common stock: cautious scenario $0.6600, base $1.22, optimistic $1.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
Balance-sheet figures for TechPrecision Corporation Common stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −15.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TPCS from its 52-week high?
TechPrecision Corporation Common stock trades at $5.29, about 15% below its 52-week high of $6.23 and 82% above the low of $2.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TechPrecision Corporation Common stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TechPrecision Corporation Common stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.29, calculated fair value $1.22 (−77%), Quality Score 28/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TPCS calculated?
We run TechPrecision Corporation Common stock through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TechPrecision Corporation Common stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.29. Our model-based fair value is $1.22, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TechPrecision Corporation Common stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.6600 to $1.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock
How large is the market capitalisation of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The market capitalisation of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is $53.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is 1.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
Earnings per share at TechPrecision Corporation Common stock are $−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The net margin of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is −5.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is −15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
The operating margin of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS)?
Revenue at TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is growing +23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) generate?
The free cash flow of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is −$3.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) carry?
The net debt of TechPrecision Corporation Common stock is $10.1M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026