Technoprobe SpA (TPRO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IT · Market cap €22.8B · ISIN IT0005482333
What is Technoprobe SpA really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 519% above our fair value of €4.27.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −8.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range €4.82 – €38.10 · fair‑value band €3.20 – €5.34 · the €26.42 price screens above the €4.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Technoprobe SpA (TPRO) currently trades at €26.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.27, implying the stock looks roughly 518.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €5.20 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €26.42 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.29, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Technoprobe SpA generated revenue of €628M at a net margin of 15.5%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 176.1. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €3.20 (bear case) to €5.34 (bull case); at €26.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 346% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −84%, TPRO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.1015 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€5.20) versus Asset-Based (€1.29). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Technoprobe S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electronic circuits in Italy, Asia, the United States, and rest of Europe.
Full company description
Technoprobe S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electronic circuits in Italy, Asia, the United States, and rest of Europe. The company provides mechanical interfaces for electrical contacting of hybrid circuits and semiconductor devices; and engages in the design, development, and production of probe cards for testing the operation of chips. Its products are used in digital data and 5G, IoT, data center, automotive and self-driving car, telecommunications and media, industry and aerospace, and consumer electronics applications. Technoprobe S.p.A. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cernusco Lombardone, Italy. Technoprobe S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of T- Plus S.P.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Technoprobe SpA reported revenue of €628M in FY2025 versus €392M in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was €97.7M in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.
TPRO screens 519% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Technoprobe SpA (STU:K8B) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Margin ...
- Technoprobe’s 330% Surge Makes It a European AI Stock Standout
- Technoprobe SpA (STU:K8B) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Strategic Growth ...
- Technoprobe (BIT:TPRO) Valuation After Record Q1 2026 AI Driven Growth And Upgraded Targets
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 329 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $227.98 | $98.98 | −57% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $427.30 | $296.10 | −31% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $371.54 | $118.27 | −68% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,730,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | −14% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $932.86 | $148.38 | −84% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $476.67 | $55.02 | −88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $92.09 | $35.41 | −62% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $266.54 | $78.54 | −71% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $164.78 | $147.20 | −11% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,845 TWD | 1,559 TWD | −59% |
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