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Fastighets AB (TRIAN-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 3.3B SEK (≈ $347M) · ISIN SE0018013658

What is Fastighets AB really worth?

FA Fastighets AB TRIAN-B · ST
Pricekr 18.15
Fair Valuekr 15.63
Upside−13.9%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of kr 15.63.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 38.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.5 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Weak on valuation: 15 out of 100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100

For context

·1.38% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 15.63 – kr 29.20

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 21.35 to kr 15.63 (−26.8%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −1.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 15.63 to kr 29.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 68.14 kr 13.12 Fair Value kr 15.63 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 13.12 – kr 68.14 · fair‑value band kr 15.63 – kr 29.20 · the kr 18.15 price screens above the kr 15.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Fastighets AB (TRIAN-B) currently trades at kr 18.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 15.63, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 27.94 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the kr 18.15 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 5.73, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fastighets AB generated revenue of 796M SEK at a net margin of 38.1%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at 7.1B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 15.63 (bear case) to kr 29.20 (bull case); at kr 18.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −14%, TRIAN-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.9308 per share, which is 6.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 7.52 kr 29.42 77
Residual Income kr 22.09 kr 22.37 kr 21.83 76
Growth DCF kr 5.73 kr 24.00 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 7.52 kr 29.42 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 16.48 kr 40.44 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 5.13 kr 28.63 kr 59.19 68
10Y Revenue Exit kr 12.71 kr 38.27 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 1.53 kr 21.58 kr 54.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 0.2500 kr 0.4900 kr 0.7500 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.2500 kr 0.4300 kr 0.5200 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 20.96 kr 27.94 kr 34.93 58
P/B Multiple kr 21.34 kr 28.45 kr 35.57 55
EV/EBIT kr 21.25 kr 34.82 kr 48.40 64
EV/EBITDA kr 12.14 kr 22.69 kr 33.23 64
EV/Revenue kr 1.59 kr 10.61 kr 19.64 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 14.41 kr 19.30 kr 28.81 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 5.73 kr 24.00 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 15.77 kr 37.64 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 22.09 kr 22.37 kr 21.83 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 27.94) versus Dividend Discount (kr 0.4300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.2
P/S ratio 4.36 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 1.62 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2
Dividend yield 1.4% payout 15.4%
Net margin 38.9% FY2025
Return on equity 5.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 54.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 796M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.3% 3y avg +0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 209M SEK FY2025
Net debt 7.1B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 34.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fastighets AB Trianon (publ), a real estate company, owns, builds, develops, and manages residential and commercial properties in Sweden. The company operates through two segments: Residential and Community/Commercial. It offers housing, retail, office, and public sector/community properties, as well as garage and parking spaces.

Full company description

Fastighets AB Trianon (publ), a real estate company, owns, builds, develops, and manages residential and commercial properties in Sweden. The company operates through two segments: Residential and Community/Commercial. It offers housing, retail, office, and public sector/community properties, as well as garage and parking spaces. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fastighets AB reported revenue of 793M SEK in FY2025 versus 618M SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 309M SEK in FY2025, compounding −30.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
793M SEK
Latest YoY
+2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−13.7% (−15.1 + 1.4)
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY21 618M SEK
FY22 779M SEK
FY23 754M SEK
FY24 773M SEK
FY25 793M SEK
Net income −30.3%/yr
FY21 1.3B SEK
FY22 132M SEK
FY23 −206M SEK
FY24 225M SEK
FY25 309M SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.0 %

of which total revenue +19.7 % · buybacks/dilution −3.9 %

EBIT margin −0.8 %
Tax rate −0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −13.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TRIAN-B screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Corem Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fastighets AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRIAN-B

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE15 · sector 48
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST23 · sector 18
HEALTH65 · sector 77
DIVIDEND28 · sector 58

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corem Property Group CORED kr 229.00 kr 121.82 −47%
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.60 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 66.00 THB 71.37 THB +8%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,586 ₹645.21 −59%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,905 ₹701.74 −63%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.19 SAR 11.60 SAR −33%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.79 ¥0.3300 −88%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,954 CLP 2,740 CLP −31%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.41 SGD 3.23 SGD −5%
The St. Joe Company JOE $67.90 $34.24 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fastighets AB (TRIAN-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 15.63 versus a price of kr 18.15, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRIAN-B?
Our model-based fair value for Fastighets AB is kr 15.63 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 18.15.
What is the quality score of TRIAN-B?
Fastighets AB has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fastighets AB (TRIAN-B)?
Fastighets AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 796M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRIAN-B?
The net profit margin of Fastighets AB is about 38.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fastighets AB pay a dividend?
Fastighets AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.38% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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