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Trinseo PLC (TSE) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $8.3M

TP Trinseo PLC logo Trinseo PLC TSE · US
Price$0.7900
Fair Value$0.4600
Upside-41.8%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -13.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
13.04% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2940 – $0.6280 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $7.76 to $0.4600 (−94.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6280). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2940 to $0.6280) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$63.68 $0.0050 Fair Value $0.4600 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0050 – $63.68 · fair‑value band $0.2940 – $0.6280 · the $0.7900 price screens above the $0.4600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Trinseo PLC (TSE) currently trades at $0.7900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4600, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Trinseo PLC generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $126M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2940 (bear case) to $0.6280 (bull case); at $0.7900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -42%, TSE screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.3%
Net margin -13.2%
Return on equity -5,162%
Free cash flow −$153M FY2025
Operating margin -3.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-11.57
Dividend yield 13.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -73.6%
Net debt $126M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics.

Full company description

Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics. The Engineered Materials segment offers rigid thermoplastic compounds and blends, soft thermoplastic, continuous cast, cell cast, activated methyl methacrylates, polymethyl methacrylates (PMMA) resins, and extruded PMMA sheets and resins for consumer electronics, medical, footwear, automotive, and building and construction applications under the EMERGE, CALIBRE, PLEXIGLAS, ALTUGLAS, ACRYSPA, AVONITE, STUDIO, MEGOL, APILON, APIGO, and APINAT trade names. The Latex Binders segment provides various latex binder products, including styrene-butadiene latex, styrene-acrylate latex, vinylidene chloride latex, all-acrylic latex, and butadiene-methacrylate latex. The Polymer Solutions Segment offers a range of polymers, such as copolymers, polycarbonate, styrene-acrylonitrile, and acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene under the MAGNUM brand. The Americas Styrenics segment provides styrene monomer, polystyrene, general purpose polystyrenes, high heat and impact resins, and STYRON A-TECH polystyrene products for appliances, food packaging, food service disposables, consumer electronics, and building and construction materials applications. It operates as a land development and subdivision company. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Wayne, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Trinseo PLC reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$546M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.0B
Latest YoY
−15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.2%
Revenue −11.4%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $5.0B
FY23 $3.7B
FY24 $3.5B
FY25 $3.0B
Net income
FY21 $440M
FY22 −$431M
FY23 −$701M
FY24 −$349M
FY25 −$546M

TSE screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trinseo PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSE

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 16.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.54× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Trinseo PLC (TSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4600 versus a price of $0.7900, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TSE?
Our model-based fair value for Trinseo PLC is $0.4600 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7900.
What is the quality score of TSE?
Trinseo PLC has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Trinseo PLC (TSE)?
Trinseo PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TSE?
The net profit margin of Trinseo PLC is about -13.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Trinseo PLC pay a dividend?
Trinseo PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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