Trinseo PLC (TSE) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $8.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $7.76 to $0.4600 (−94.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6280). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2940 to $0.6280) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0050 – $63.68 · fair‑value band $0.2940 – $0.6280 · the $0.7900 price screens above the $0.4600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Trinseo PLC (TSE) currently trades at $0.7900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4600, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Trinseo PLC generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $126M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2940 (bear case) to $0.6280 (bull case); at $0.7900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -42%, TSE screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics.
Full company description
Trinseo PLC provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Polymer Solutions, and Americas Styrenics. The Engineered Materials segment offers rigid thermoplastic compounds and blends, soft thermoplastic, continuous cast, cell cast, activated methyl methacrylates, polymethyl methacrylates (PMMA) resins, and extruded PMMA sheets and resins for consumer electronics, medical, footwear, automotive, and building and construction applications under the EMERGE, CALIBRE, PLEXIGLAS, ALTUGLAS, ACRYSPA, AVONITE, STUDIO, MEGOL, APILON, APIGO, and APINAT trade names. The Latex Binders segment provides various latex binder products, including styrene-butadiene latex, styrene-acrylate latex, vinylidene chloride latex, all-acrylic latex, and butadiene-methacrylate latex. The Polymer Solutions Segment offers a range of polymers, such as copolymers, polycarbonate, styrene-acrylonitrile, and acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene under the MAGNUM brand. The Americas Styrenics segment provides styrene monomer, polystyrene, general purpose polystyrenes, high heat and impact resins, and STYRON A-TECH polystyrene products for appliances, food packaging, food service disposables, consumer electronics, and building and construction materials applications. It operates as a land development and subdivision company. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Wayne, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trinseo PLC reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$546M in FY2025.
TSE screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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