Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Trade Window Holdings Limited A$0.02, price A$0.11, upside -81.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range A$0.0900 – A$0.3000 · fair‑value band A$0.0114 – A$0.0196 · the A$0.1050 price screens above the A$0.0196 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Trade Window Holdings Limited develops and commercialise technology solutions that provide international trade participants with a platform and tools in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally.
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Trade Window Holdings Limited develops and commercialise technology solutions that provide international trade participants with a platform and tools in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally. The company offers Prodoc, a customizable enterprise document solution to leverage its customers IT investments with integration into either on-premises or cloud-based ERP systems; Freight, a solution for managing freight forwarding operations from order management to warehousing; Origin which is used for issue certificates of Origin in New Zealand for AANZFTA, CFTA, and RCEP; and SpeEDI Software, a cloud-based solution for cargo reporting and border clearance solution. It also provides Cube solution that enables businesses involved in global trade to securely share mission-critical data and collaborate with partners across the supply chain ecosystem; and Assure Plus, a software to collect and share information across supply chains easier. In addition, the company offers supply chain solutions for exporters, importers, freight forwarders, customs brokers, warehousing, auditor and certifiers, and marketers. It serves certifications and trust marks, coffee, diary, forestry, honey, horticulture, seed and grain, manufacturing, specialty, meat, wine, seafood, and other sectors. Trade Window Holdings Limited was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Takapuna, New Zealand.
Stock analysis
Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL) currently trades at A$0.1050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0196, implying the stock looks roughly 435.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0114 (bear) to A$0.0196 (bull), the price of A$0.1050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Trade Window Holdings Limited reported revenue of 9.6M NZD in FY2026 versus 3.9M NZD in FY2022, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.6M NZD in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$25.3M (≈ $17.8M) · P/S ratio 2.63 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −27.0% · Return on equity −25.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −52.5% · Operating margin −24.3% · Revenue (TTM) 9.6M NZD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −81%, TWL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0114Fair Value A$0.0196Bull A$0.0196
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−314.2% (2022) → −26.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Trade Window Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−24% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.85× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)75· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0196 versus a price of A$0.1050, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TWL?
Our model-based fair value for Trade Window Holdings Limited is A$0.0196 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1050.
What is the quality score of TWL?
Trade Window Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0196 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0114, optimistic scenario A$0.0196. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trade Window Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0196, about −81% upside versus a price of A$0.1050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0114, optimistic scenario A$0.0196. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Trade Window Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.6M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trade Window Holdings Limited it is A$0.0196 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1050. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trade Window Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TWL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1050, fair value A$0.0196, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TWL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0196). For Trade Window Holdings Limited the two are A$0.0854 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trade Window Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Trade Window Holdings Limited at about A$25.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0196 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TWL?
Our models span a range for Trade Window Holdings Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0114, base A$0.0196, optimistic A$0.0196 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trade Window Holdings Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −25.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Trade Window Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trade Window Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1050, calculated fair value A$0.0196 (−81%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TWL calculated?
We run Trade Window Holdings Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0196, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Trade Window Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0196, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trade Window Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0196). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Trade Window Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The market capitalisation of Trade Window Holdings Limited is A$25.3M (≈ $17.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Trade Window Holdings Limited is 2.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Earnings per share at Trade Window Holdings Limited are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The net margin of Trade Window Holdings Limited is −27.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trade Window Holdings Limited is −25.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trade Window Holdings Limited is −52.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
The operating margin of Trade Window Holdings Limited is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL)?
Revenue at Trade Window Holdings Limited is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL) generate?
The free cash flow of Trade Window Holdings Limited is −2.0M NZD (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Trade Window Holdings Limited (TWL) carry?
The net debt of Trade Window Holdings Limited is 991K NZD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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