TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 12.4M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.0140 SGD to 0.0149 SGD (+6.5%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price −17.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range 0.0130 SGD – 0.3088 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0140 SGD – 0.0163 SGD · the 0.0140 SGD price screens below the 0.0149 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) currently trades at 0.0140 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0149 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED generated revenue of 2.0B SGD at a net margin of -6.8%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. Net debt stands at 283M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0140 SGD (bear case) to 0.0163 SGD (bull case); at 0.0140 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 6%, VI2 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (0.0149 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.0105 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trans-China Automotive Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automotive dealership company in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on the distribution of premium and ultra-premium automobiles under the BMW, McLaren, and Genesis brands, as well as pre-owned automobiles.
Full company description
Trans-China Automotive Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automotive dealership company in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on the distribution of premium and ultra-premium automobiles under the BMW, McLaren, and Genesis brands, as well as pre-owned automobiles. The company is also involved in the repair and scheduled servicing, maintenance, and inspection of automobiles; and retail of automobile parts and accessories, as well as merchandise. In addition, it provides automobile agency services, including automobile registration and administration for financing and insurance services; car registration services; and licensing services. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 2.0B SGD in FY2025 versus 4.5B SGD in FY2021, a compound −18.5%/yr. Reported net income was −135M SGD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $72.48 | $24.58 | -66% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $218.00 | $217.41 | -0% |
| D'Ieteren Group DIE | €175.00 | €105.40 | -40% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 524.00 TWD | 558.82 TWD | +7% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.71 | $29.44 | -50% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $378.55 | $498.50 | +32% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $208.62 | $329.77 | +58% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $80.63 | $66.27 | -18% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $33.30 | $24.55 | -26% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $35.33 | $33.46 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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