TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.04, price S$0.02, upside +173.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Trans-China Automotive Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automotive dealership company in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on the distribution of premium and ultra-premium automobiles under the BMW, McLaren, and Genesis brands, as well as pre-owned automobiles.
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Trans-China Automotive Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automotive dealership company in the People's Republic of China. It focuses on the distribution of premium and ultra-premium automobiles under the BMW, McLaren, and Genesis brands, as well as pre-owned automobiles. The company is also involved in the repair and scheduled servicing, maintenance, and inspection of automobiles; and retail of automobile parts and accessories, as well as merchandise. In addition, it provides automobile agency services, including automobile registration and administration for financing and insurance services; car registration services; and licensing services. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) currently trades at 0.0160 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0438 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 63.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.1800 SGD per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the 0.0160 SGD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.1600 SGD, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0358 SGD (bear) to 0.0550 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0160 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −18.5%/yr. Reported net income was −135M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 14.8M SGD (≈ $11.6M) · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 SGD · Net margin −6.8% · Return on equity −508% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −2.2% · Revenue (TTM) 1.8B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −20.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 174%, VI2 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0358 SGDFair Value 0.0438 SGDBull 0.0550 SGD
Price 0.0160 SGD · Upside +173.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.5% (2020) → −3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 92 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+173.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−2.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/FCF0.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 63
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0438 SGD versus a price of 0.0160 SGD, about +174% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VI2?
Our model-based fair value for TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.0438 SGD (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0160 SGD.
What is the quality score of VI2?
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0438 SGD (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0358 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0550 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0438 SGD, about +174% upside versus a price of 0.0160 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.0358 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0550 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.0438 SGD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 0.0160 SGD. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, VI2 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0160 SGD, fair value 0.0438 SGD, a gap of about +174% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VI2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0160 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0438 SGD). For TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0278 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 14.8M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.0160 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0438 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VI2?
Our models span a range for TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0358 SGD, base 0.0438 SGD, optimistic 0.0550 SGD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 0.0160 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Balance-sheet figures for TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Oct 4, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VI2 from its 52-week high?
TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.0160 SGD, about 56% below its 52-week high of 0.0360 SGD and 45% above the low of 0.0110 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0438 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, D'Ieteren Group, Hotai Motor Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 0.0160 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0438 SGD (+174%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VI2 calculated?
We run TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0438 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 0.0160 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0438 SGD, about +174% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0358 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
The market capitalisation of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 14.8M SGD (≈ $11.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Earnings per share at TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED are −0.0300 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
The net margin of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is −6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is −508% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
The operating margin of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Revenue at TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing −20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2)?
Earnings per share at TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing −26.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) generate?
The free cash flow of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 60.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED (VI2) carry?
The net debt of TRANS-CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 283M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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