Villar (VILR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Villar ILS 97.28, price ILS 179, upside -45.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 121.73 ILA – 214.88 ILA · fair‑value band 55.32 ILA – 148.75 ILA · the 178.50 ILA price screens above the 97.28 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Villar International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Israel, Romania, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Building Rental, Building Construction, and Archival.
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Villar International Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Israel, Romania, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Building Rental, Building Construction, and Archival. It finds and purchases lands for industrial buildings and safe housings, as well as leases offices; and initiates and constructs residential and office buildings, shopping centers, and logistic centers, as well as purchases land reserves. The company also offers archive and storage services for various media, including packing containers delivery, transfer, extraction and retrieval of materials, and destroying materials past its archival date. In addition, it provides construction and safety equipment rental, as well as molding engineering solutions and services; and engages in the initiation, construction, acquisition, maintenance, and upkeep of photovoltaic power generation systems. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Caesarea, Israel.
Stock analysis
Villar (VILR) currently trades at 178.50 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 97.28 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 83.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 211.16 ILA per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the 178.50 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 26.45 ILA, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 55.32 ILA (bear) to 148.75 ILA (bull), the price of 178.50 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Villar reported revenue of 355M ILS in FY2025 versus 280M ILS in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 308M ILS in FY2025, compounding −9.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B ILA · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 9.79 · EPS (TTM) 15.81 ILA · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 86.7% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −46%, VILR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 55.32 ILAFair Value 97.28 ILABull 148.75 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (9.81 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.57% → 63%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−46% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)74% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)62% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF9.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA5.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)31· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)31· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)27· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Villar Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VILR
Frequently asked questions
Is Villar (VILR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 97.28 ILA versus a price of 178.50 ILA, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VILR?
Our model-based fair value for Villar is 97.28 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 178.50 ILA.
What is the quality score of VILR?
Villar has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Villar (VILR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 97.28 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 55.32 ILA, optimistic scenario 148.75 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Villar stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 97.28 ILA, about −46% upside versus a price of 178.50 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 55.32 ILA, optimistic scenario 148.75 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Villar (VILR)?
Villar reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 380M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Villar pay a dividend?
Villar currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Villar (VILR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Villar would have to grow free cash flow by +24.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VILR use?
Our models discount Villar at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Villar that is +24.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Villar (VILR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Villar grew -4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +24.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Villar (VILR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Villar (+24.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Villar (VILR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.43 %: that much free cash flow Villar produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Villar (VILR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Villar it is 97.28 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 178.50 ILA. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Villar stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VILR trades above its calculated fair value: price 178.50 ILA, fair value 97.28 ILA, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VILR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (178.50 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (97.28 ILA). For Villar the two are 81.22 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Villar worth?
The market values Villar at about 3.2B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 178.50 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 97.28 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VILR?
Our models span a range for Villar: cautious scenario 55.32 ILA, base 97.28 ILA, optimistic 148.75 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 178.50 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VILR?
Villar trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 97.28 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Villar (VILR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Villar (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VILR from its 52-week high?
Villar trades at 178.50 ILA, about 11% below its 52-week high of 199.47 ILA and 14% above the low of 156.60 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 97.28 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Villar?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Villar stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 178.50 ILA, calculated fair value 97.28 ILA (−46%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VILR calculated?
We run Villar through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 97.28 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Villar itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Villar (VILR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 178.50 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 97.28 ILA, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Villar right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (148.75 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (55.32 ILA to 148.75 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Villar (VILR) come from?
Earnings per share at Villar grew +11.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.2 %, EBIT margin +6.4 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Villar
How large is the market capitalisation of Villar (VILR)?
The market capitalisation of Villar is 3.2B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Villar (VILR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Villar is 9.79 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Villar (VILR)?
Earnings per share at Villar are 15.81 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Villar (VILR)?
The dividend yield of Villar is 1.3% (payout 15.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Villar (VILR)?
The net margin of Villar is 86.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Villar (VILR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Villar is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Villar (VILR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Villar is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Villar (VILR)?
The operating margin of Villar is 62.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Villar (VILR)?
Revenue at Villar is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Villar (VILR)?
Earnings per share at Villar are growing −67.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Villar (VILR) carry?
The net debt of Villar is 562M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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