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Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company (VRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · VN · Market cap 56.5T VND

VR Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company VRE · VN
Price24,950 VND
Fair Value36,826 VND
Upside+47.6%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 76.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.99% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range 27,403 VND – 46,249 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −7.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 48% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (27,403 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

41,914 VND 15,549 VND Fair Value 36,826 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15,549 VND – 41,914 VND · fair‑value band 27,403 VND – 46,249 VND · the 24,950 VND price screens below the 36,826 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company (VRE) currently trades at 24,950 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36,826 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 9.0T VND at a net margin of 76.4%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at 2.0T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27,403 VND (bear case) to 46,249 VND (bull case); at 24,950 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 48%, VRE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 20,734 VND 25,963 VND 60,350 VND 76
Gordon GGM 10,376 VND 13,392 VND 16,576 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10,376 VND 14,309 VND 19,293 VND 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10,376 VND 13,392 VND 16,576 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10,376 VND 14,309 VND 19,293 VND 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 18,960 VND 25,279 VND 31,599 VND 58
P/B Multiple 31,929 VND 42,572 VND 53,215 VND 55
EV/EBIT 27,412 VND 36,835 VND 46,258 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 28,738 VND 38,603 VND 48,468 VND 54
EV/Revenue 14,734 VND 21,416 VND 28,098 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10,643 VND 14,262 VND 21,286 VND 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20,734 VND 25,963 VND 60,350 VND 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (36,835 VND) versus Dividend Discount (13,392 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.0T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 76.4%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow −5.9T VND FY2025
P/E ratio 8.1
More key figures
Operating margin 48.2%
EPS (TTM) 3,056 VND
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.5%
Net debt 2.0T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, development, and leasing of shopping centers in Vietnam. It is also involved in real estate development and transfer activities; sale of real estate; and leases investment properties, as well as offers real estate and management consulting activities.

Full company description

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, development, and leasing of shopping centers in Vietnam. It is also involved in real estate development and transfer activities; sale of real estate; and leases investment properties, as well as offers real estate and management consulting activities. Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 8.8T VND in FY2025 versus 5.9T VND in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.4T VND in FY2025, compounding +48.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.8T VND
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
−0.8%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 5.9T VND
FY22 7.4T VND
FY23 9.8T VND
FY24 8.9T VND
FY25 8.8T VND
Net income +48.8%/yr
FY21 1.3T VND
FY22 2.8T VND
FY23 4.4T VND
FY24 4.1T VND
FY25 6.4T VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRE

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +48% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 97 · sector 46
FUTURE 38 · sector 33
PAST 59 · sector 17
HEALTH 93 · sector 75
DIVIDEND 80 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company (VRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 36,826 VND versus a price of 24,950 VND, about +48% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VRE?
Our model-based fair value for Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company is 36,826 VND (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 24,950 VND.
What is the quality score of VRE?
Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company (VRE)?
Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VRE?
The net profit margin of Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company is about 76.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 76.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company pay a dividend?
Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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