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WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of WA1 Resources Ltd stock A$1.37, price A$7.63, upside -82.1%, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000196594

WR WA1 Resources Ltd logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

WA1 Resources Ltd

WA1 · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +932460.7 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$1.37 · Strongly overvalued (−82.1%)
Quality 30/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Insider activity 25/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$22.41 A$0.1200 Fair Value A$1.37 Feb 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range A$0.1200 – A$22.41 · fair‑value band A$0.9010 – A$1.71 · the A$7.63 price screens above the A$1.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

WA1 Resources Ltd engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Western Australia and Northern territory. It explores for iron oxide, copper, gold, nickel, and luni-niobium deposits.

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The company's flagship project is the Linu Niobium project located approximately 490 kilometers south of Halls Creek in Western Australia. WA1 Resources Ltd was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1) currently trades at A$7.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.37, 82.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.9010 (bear) to A$1.71 (bull), the price of A$7.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

WA1 Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$3.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$567M (≈ $399M) Small · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0500 · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$261K · Free cash flow −A$8.5M · Net cash A$123M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −82%, WA1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.9010 Fair Value A$1.37 Bull A$1.71
Price A$7.63 · Upside -82.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$1.06 A$1.61 A$2.01 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.06 A$1.61 A$2.01 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 9
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 4
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

WA1 screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

Compare WA1 Resources Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 56 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.60× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$32.00 C$35.20 +10% vs WA1
MMG Limited 1208 HK$7.47 HK$8.22 +10% vs WA1
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM $23.99 $21.25 −11% vs WA1
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $183.59 $158.88 −13% vs WA1
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$11.84 C$9.67 −18% vs WA1
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥37.95 ¥25.86 −32% vs WA1
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$35.97 C$19.89 −45% vs WA1
KGHM Polska Miedz S.A KGH 296.70 PLN 156.35 PLN −47% vs WA1
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥5.19 ¥2.15 −59% vs WA1
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $68.90 $16.51 −76% vs WA1

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WA1 Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$1.37 −82%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WA1 Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WA1

Frequently asked questions

Is WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.37 versus a price of A$7.63, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WA1?
Our model-based fair value for WA1 Resources Ltd is A$1.37 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$7.63.
What is the quality score of WA1?
WA1 Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.37 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.9010, optimistic scenario A$1.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WA1 Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.37, about −82% upside versus a price of A$7.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.9010, optimistic scenario A$1.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
WA1 Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$261K (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WA1 Resources Ltd it is A$1.37 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$7.63. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WA1 Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, WA1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$7.63, fair value A$1.37, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WA1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$7.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.37). For WA1 Resources Ltd the two are A$6.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WA1 Resources Ltd worth?
The market values WA1 Resources Ltd at about A$567M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$7.63; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WA1?
Our models span a range for WA1 Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.9010, base A$1.37, optimistic A$1.71 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$7.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
Balance-sheet figures for WA1 Resources Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −2.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WA1 from its 52-week high?
WA1 Resources Ltd trades at A$7.63, about 62% below its 52-week high of A$20.01 and at the low of A$7.63 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WA1 Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Lundin Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WA1 Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$7.63, calculated fair value A$1.37 (−82%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WA1 calculated?
We run WA1 Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. WA1 Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was A$7.63. Our model-based fair value is A$1.37, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WA1 Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.9010 to A$1.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of WA1 Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
The market capitalisation of WA1 Resources Ltd is A$567M (≈ $399M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
Earnings per share at WA1 Resources Ltd are A$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WA1 Resources Ltd is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WA1 Resources Ltd is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1) generate?
The free cash flow of WA1 Resources Ltd is −A$8.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does WA1 Resources Ltd (WA1) hold?
WA1 Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$123M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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